Maine high school cross country
2026 season · team scores recomputed from every finish order · runners shown by school and number
We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete. Predictions are data only and can be wrong.
Showing 6 of 6 races · Girls · results through Oct 20 · entry lists as of Thu Oct 22, 2:28 PM
North · Belfast · in the numbers
Troy Howard (Belfast) rated -46 s vs a median Maine course
Weather: not stored in the freeze
South · Cumberland · in the numbers
Twin Brook (Cumberland) rated +10 s vs a median Maine course
Weather: not stored in the freeze
Start times weren't posted, so every race used Saturday's 10 AM–1 PM forecast for its site. Every input we use.
On the state-meet line
DeeringClass A South · est. 57% to States GreelyClass B South · est. 40% to States
Class A North · GirlsBelfast
Projected team (by points)Chance to win est.
1Hampden Academy93%
2Camden Hills7%
3Brunswick<1%
Hampden Academy lead the projection clearly (est. 93% to win).
10 teams · top 5 to States96 entered
Every team, the preview →
Class A South · GirlsCumberland
Projected team (by points)Chance to win est.
1Falmouth52%
2Portland38%
3Thornton Academy9%
A close race at the top: Falmouth (est. 52%) and Portland (est. 38%).
16 teams · top 8 to States141 entered
Every team, the preview →
Class B North · GirlsBelfast
Projected team (by points)Chance to win est.
1Presque Isle54%
2Mt. Desert Island46%
3Caribou<1%
A close race at the top: Presque Isle (est. 54%) and Mt. Desert Island (est. 46%).
10 teams · top 5 to States90 entered
Every team, the preview →
Class B South · GirlsCumberland
Projected team (by points)Chance to win est.
1Freeport36%
2Yarmouth38%
3Cape Elizabeth26%
A close race at the top: Yarmouth (est. 38%) and Freeport (est. 36%).
11 teams · top 6 to States100 entered
Every team, the preview →
Class C North · GirlsBelfast
Projected team (by points)Chance to win est.
1Orono65%
2George Stevens Academy35%
3Calais<1%
Orono lead the projection clearly (est. 65% to win).
7 teams · top 4 to States61 entered
Every team, the preview →
Class C South · GirlsCumberland
Projected team (by points)Chance to win est.
1Maine Coast Waldorf74%
2NYA23%
3Maranacook2%
Maine Coast Waldorf lead the projection clearly (est. 74% to win).
11 teams · top 6 to States97 entered
Every team, the preview →
How these are made: each runner's projected time on the regional course (Belfast for the North, Cumberland for the South) from their 2026 races, with course, weather, race day and season fitness taken out. Then 4,000 simulated races: every runner's time moves as much as runners' times really do, more for runners with few races this season, and each team also gets a shared good or bad day. Entries: the official regional entry lists; each school's 7 best entered runners run. Team line: half of the teams with five or more runners (at least four) go on to the state meet; individuals: the top 30 in each race. The MPA decides who qualifies. More on how we got the numbers.
