We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete. Predictions are data only and can be wrong.
Biddeford Girls
Class A South regional, Twin Brook Recreation Area, Cumberland. SMAA. 5 runners entered to run.
Projection · frozen Fri Oct 23, 11:30 PM, before the race · now graded →Projected finish16 of 16 (402 pts)
Likely finish (8 of 10 races)14–16
State meet linetop 8 teams
Simulated races4,000
Results throughOct 20
Course+10 s vs median
Sat forecast, 10 AM–1 PMnot stored in the freeze
Chance to win est.<1%
Top 3 est.<1%
To States est.<1%est. <1% before the conference meets
Projected points402
Team strength
Average of the scoring five (projected 5K)25:39
Pack: 1st to 5th runner344 s
Scoring five's projected places64 · 67 · 71 · 102 · 108
6th runner behind the 5thno 6th runner
Against the teams around them
Windham (projected 15)-53 s per runner
Last team inside the cut: Deering215 pts
Their points vs the last team in+187
"+ s per runner" = how much slower that team's five average (a minus = faster). Fewer points is better.
Biddeford runners
Runners are shown by number: runner 1 is the team's first runner in our projection. We don't show names (coach accounts only); times and places are the same for everyone.
| Team # | Runner | Time | Top 30 est. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Runner 1SCORERprojected #64 overall | 23:44 | 3%top 30 |
| 2 | Runner 2SCORERprojected #67 overall | 23:50 | 2%top 30 |
| 3 | Runner 3SCORERprojected #71 overall | 24:19 | <1%top 30 |
| 4 | Runner 4SCORERprojected #102 overall | 26:52 | <1%top 30 |
| 5 | Runner 5SCORERprojected #108 overall | 29:28 | <1%top 30 |
Chances, not calls: from 4,000 simulated regionals with the entered runners only. The MPA decides who qualifies. This is the projection we froze before the race. How we got the numbers.