We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete. Predictions are data only and can be wrong.
Biddeford Boys
Class A South regional, Twin Brook Recreation Area, Cumberland. SMAA. 7 runners entered to run.
Projection · frozen Fri Oct 23, 11:30 PM, before the race · now graded →Projected finish17 of 17 (466 pts)
Likely finish (8 of 10 races)16–17
State meet linetop 9 teams
Simulated races4,000
Results throughOct 20
Course+3 s vs median
Sat forecast, 10 AM–1 PMnot stored in the freeze
Chance to win est.<1%
Top 3 est.<1%
To States est.<1%est. <1% before the conference meets
Projected points466
Team strength
Average of the scoring five (projected 5K)21:37
Pack: 1st to 5th runner237 s
Scoring five's projected places65 · 67 · 113 · 116 · 117
6th runner behind the 5th9 s
Against the teams around them
Noble (projected 16)-88 s per runner
Last team inside the cut: Massabesic309 pts
Their points vs the last team in+157
"+ s per runner" = how much slower that team's five average (a minus = faster). Fewer points is better.
Biddeford runners
Runners are shown by number: runner 1 is the team's first runner in our projection. We don't show names (coach accounts only); times and places are the same for everyone.
| Team # | Runner | Time | Top 30 est. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Runner 1SCORERprojected #65 overall | 19:31 | 2%top 30 |
| 2 | Runner 2SCORERprojected #67 overall | 19:36 | 2%top 30 |
| 3 | Runner 3SCORERprojected #113 overall | 22:27 | <1%top 30 |
| 4 | Runner 4SCORERprojected #116 overall | 23:05 | <1%top 30 |
| 5 | Runner 5SCORERprojected #117 overall | 23:28 | <1%top 30 |
| 6 | Runner 6DISPLACERprojected #119 overall | 23:37 | <1%top 30 |
| 7 | Runner 7DISPLACERprojected #120 overall | 23:48 | <1%top 30 |
Chances, not calls: from 4,000 simulated regionals with the entered runners only. The MPA decides who qualifies. This is the projection we froze before the race. How we got the numbers.