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We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete. Predictions are data only and can be wrong.

← Regionals, graded · Class C South · Boys

Class C South Boys: runner by runner

Every finisher, next to what we showed before the race (frozen Friday night, never changed): projected place and the range we gave, projected time, and where they really finished.

26 of 28runners we gave a better-than-even chance of the top 30 made it
76 of 96finished inside the place range we gave (built for 8 in 10)
Rightour projected individual winner
+4 sthe race on the day vs our times (+ = slower: course and weather); typical runner miss after that 24 s
Every finisher · by school and number101 ran

Runners are shown by school and number: runner 1 is that team's first finisher in this race. We don't show names (coach accounts only); places and times are the same for everyone.

Place#RunnerTo States est.TimeWe hadOur rangeOur time
1 Dirigo · runner 1 Team 16:20 1 1–5 16:08
2 NYA · runner 1Beat our range Top 30 est. 16:43 7 3–14 17:13
3 Winthrop · runner 1 Team 16:44 2 1–7 16:28
4 Waynflete · runner 1 Team 16:52 4 2–11 17:01
5 Madison · runner 1 Team 17:06 3 1–9 16:44
6 Winthrop · runner 2 Team 17:15 6 3–14 17:13
7 Maranacook · runner 1 Team 17:20 5 2–13 17:11
8 Boothbay/Wiscasset · runner 1 Team 17:35 10 5–23 17:55
9 Winthrop · runner 3 Team 17:40 8 5–20 17:44
10 Maine Coast Waldorf · runner 1 Top 30 est. 17:54 17 9–32 18:34
11 Waynflete · runner 2 Team 18:03 15 9–31 18:29
12 Winthrop · runner 4 Team 18:09 12 9–30 18:22
13 Carrabec · runner 1 Team 18:13 18 10–32 18:35
14 Winthrop · runner 5 Team 18:17 9 5–21 17:49
15 Valley · runner 1 Top 30 est. 18:20 11 6–24 18:01
16 Old Orchard Beach · runner 1 Top 30 est. 18:32 20 10–33 18:36
17 Dirigo · runner 2 Team 18:42 22 10–34 18:40
18 Waynflete · runner 3 Team 18:47 23 12–37 18:49
19 Traip Academy · runner 1 Top 30 est. 18:53 21 10–34 18:39
20 Maranacook · runner 2 Team 18:56 13 9–29 18:24
21 Valley · runner 2 Top 30 est. 19:01 26 13–39 18:56
22 Carrabec · runner 2 Team 19:01 27 13–39 18:57
23 Winthrop · runner 6 Team 19:06 34 21–48 19:33
24 Madison · runner 2Beat our range Team 19:13 40 27–55 19:58
25 Maranacook · runner 3 Team 19:13 29 15–40 19:05
26 Boothbay/Wiscasset · runner 2 Team 19:14 30 19–45 19:22
27 Maranacook · runner 4 Team 19:15 39 25–51 19:46
28 Valley · runner 3 Top 30 est. 19:17 14 9–30 18:24
29 Carrabec · runner 3 Team 19:20 16 9–31 18:29
30 Carrabec · runner 4 Team 19:23 28 15–40 19:05
31 Maranacook · runner 5 Team 19:26 24 13–37 18:54
32 Boothbay/Wiscasset · runner 3Beat our range Team 19:33 47 34–62 20:24
33 Maine Coast Waldorf · runner 2 19:33 36 23–50 19:39
34 Carrabec · runner 5 Team 19:41 32 20–47 19:29
35 NYA · runner 2 19:42 19 10–33 18:35
36 Lisbon · runner 1not in our projection 19:50 –
37 Maranacook · runner 6 Team 19:57 43 31–59 20:12
38 Dirigo · runner 3 Team 20:02 42 14–75 20:05
39 Lisbon · runner 2 20:05 48 34–63 20:26
40 Madison · runner 3 Team 20:08 46 34–62 20:23
41 Forest Hills · runner 1 20:10 41 28–57 20:04
42 Boothbay/Wiscasset · runner 4 Team 20:18 31 19–46 19:24
43 Dirigo · runner 4 Team 20:23 35 22–50 19:38
44 NYA · runner 3 20:24 51 36–64 20:32
45 Madison · runner 4 Team 20:26 53 36–64 20:33
46 Traip Academy · runner 2 20:30 33 21–48 19:33
47 Maranacook · runner 7 Team 20:35 38 24–51 19:45
48 Madison · runner 5Beat our range Team 20:37 66 51–78 21:31
49 Maine Coast Waldorf · runner 3 20:38 49 35–63 20:29
50 Winthrop · runner 7 Team 20:38 50 36–64 20:30
51 Waynflete · runner 4 Team 20:38 58 44–72 21:03
52 Maine Coast Waldorf · runner 4 20:49 65 51–78 21:30
53 Maine Coast Waldorf · runner 5 20:51 54 39–67 20:42
54 Dirigo · runner 5 Team 20:55 52 36–64 20:32
55 Oak Hill · runner 1 20:56 56 43–71 21:00
56 Boothbay/Wiscasset · runner 5 Team 20:56 61 47–75 21:14
57 Mt. Abram · runner 1 20:58 57 43–72 21:01
58 Monmouth Academy · runner 1 21:05 64 50–77 21:24
59 Waynflete · runner 5Beat our range Team 21:09 83 71–88 22:42
60 Carrabec · runner 6 Team 21:12 60 45–74 21:07
61 Boothbay/Wiscasset · runner 6not in our projection Team 21:13 –
62 NYA · runner 4 21:15 44 34–61 20:22
63 NYA · runner 5 21:16 63 49–76 21:20
64 Dirigo · runner 6 Team 21:21 59 45–73 21:06
65 Dirigo · runner 7 Team 21:24 62 48–75 21:17
66 Waynflete · runner 6 Team 21:30 67 52–78 21:31
67 Lisbon · runner 3 21:30 70 56–81 21:47
68 Maine Coast Waldorf · runner 6 21:31 75 59–83 21:58
69 Maine Coast Waldorf · runner 7not in our projection 21:38 –
70 Oak Hill · runner 2 21:55 79 63–84 22:14
71 Valley · runner 4 22:11 82 66–86 22:25
72 NYA · runner 6not in our projection 22:12 –
73 Traip Academy · runner 3 22:17 78 62–84 22:12
74 Lisbon · runner 4 22:18 73 58–82 21:54
75 Madison · runner 6Beat our range Team 22:19 91 84–94 23:51
76 Waynflete · runner 7 Team 22:26 76 61–83 22:03
77 Carrabec · runner 7 Team 22:26 71 57–82 21:51
78 Boothbay/Wiscasset · runner 7 Team 22:29 68 54–79 21:37
79 Lisbon · runner 5Beat our range 23:01 87 82–93 23:37
80 Lisbon · runner 6Beat our range 23:05 94 88–96 24:25
81 Richmond · runner 1 23:05 81 65–85 22:19
82 Hall-Dale · runner 1Beat our range 23:06 93 86–96 24:12
83 Hall-Dale · runner 2 23:16 77 61–83 22:04
84 Mt. Abram · runner 2 23:28 85 81–93 23:29
85 Lisbon · runner 7 23:33 89 83–94 23:48
86 North Haven · runner 1 23:45 84 71–88 22:48
87 Traip Academy · runner 4Beat our range 23:59 95 91–98 25:01
88 Monmouth Academy · runner 2 24:10 86 82–93 23:34
89 Telstar · runner 1 24:19 88 70–98 23:46
90 NYA · runner 7not in our projection 24:52 –
91 Forest Hills · runner 2 25:05 90 83–94 23:49
92 Old Orchard Beach · runner 2Beat our range 26:07 103 102–106 28:19
93 Madison · runner 7Beat our range Team 26:58 102 100–104 27:23
94 Monmouth Academy · runner 3 27:02 100 91–103 26:09
95 Traip Academy · runner 5Beat our range 27:21 104 102–107 28:28
96 Oak Hill · runner 3 27:22 98 95–100 25:48
97 Traip Academy · runner 6Beat our range 27:42 101 99–103 27:00
98 Valley · runner 5Beat our range 29:30 105 102–106 28:33
99 Hall-Dale · runner 3 30:13 92 86–96 24:10
100 Oak Hill · runner 4Beat our range 30:25 107 104–107 29:11
101 Telstar · runner 2Beat our range 33:42 110 108–110 32:41

"We had" = the place we projected Friday night, among the runners we projected (some of them didn't start: 15 here; 5 finishers weren't in our projection, mostly late entries). "Our range" = where we expected the runner in 8 of 10 simulated races. "Beat our range" = finished better than the best place we gave. "To States": with their team, or as one of the top 30. We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete; projections are data only and can be wrong.