We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete. Predictions are data only and can be wrong.

← Regionals, graded · Class A North · Boys

Class A North Boys: runner by runner

Every finisher, next to what we showed before the race (frozen Friday night, never changed): projected place and the range we gave, projected time, and where they really finished.

26 of 30runners we gave a better-than-even chance of the top 30 made it
68 of 78finished inside the place range we gave (built for 8 in 10)
Rightour projected individual winner
+3 sthe race on the day vs our times (+ = slower: course and weather); typical runner miss after that 19 s
Every finisher · by school and number84 ran

Runners are shown by school and number: runner 1 is that team's first finisher in this race. We don't show names (coach accounts only); places and times are the same for everyone.

Place#RunnerTo States est.TimeWe hadOur rangeOur time
1 Bangor · runner 1 Top 30 est. 15:51 1 1–8 15:57
2 Mt. Blue · runner 1 Team 16:10 2 1–14 16:22
3 Mt. Blue · runner 2 Team 16:33 3 1–14 16:24
4 Camden Hills · runner 1 Team 16:56 4 2–18 16:40
5 Hampden Academy · runner 1 Team 17:03 6 3–25 17:00
6 Camden Hills · runner 2 Team 17:07 9 4–29 17:11
7 Messalonskee · runner 1 Team 17:09 7 3–25 17:02
8 Brewer · runner 1 Top 30 est. 17:10 8 3–28 17:08
9 Oxford Hills · runner 1 Team 17:17 16 6–34 17:29
10 Hampden Academy · runner 2Beat our range Team 17:25 24 11–43 17:52
11 Camden Hills · runner 3 Team 17:27 17 7–37 17:35
12 Mt. Ararat · runner 1 Top 30 est. 17:29 14 5–34 17:26
13 Hampden Academy · runner 3Beat our range Team 17:31 31 14–48 18:07
14 Messalonskee · runner 2 Team 17:32 21 9–41 17:49
15 Oxford Hills · runner 2 Team 17:32 13 5–33 17:23
16 Messalonskee · runner 3 Team 17:38 12 5–32 17:22
17 Hampden Academy · runner 4 Team 17:40 11 5–31 17:17
18 Hampden Academy · runner 5 Team 17:40 15 6–35 17:28
19 Skowhegan · runner 1 Top 30 est. 17:48 28 11–44 17:56
20 Brunswick · runner 1 Team 17:49 26 11–44 17:54
21 Hampden Academy · runner 6 Team 17:51 18 8–38 17:39
22 Mt. Blue · runner 3 Team 17:54 25 11–43 17:54
23 Hampden Academy · runner 7 Team 17:56 27 11–44 17:54
24 Messalonskee · runner 4 Team 17:56 36 18–51 18:22
25 Messalonskee · runner 5 Team 17:59 5 2–23 16:55
26 Bangor · runner 2 Top 30 est. 17:59 30 13–47 18:06
27 Brunswick · runner 2 Team 17:59 41 14–59 18:34
28 Camden Hills · runner 4 Team 18:00 38 19–53 18:25
29 Brunswick · runner 3 Team 18:02 29 11–44 17:57
30 Edward Little · runner 1 Top 30 est. 18:03 46 26–57 18:50
31 Oxford Hills · runner 3 Team 18:04 19 8–39 17:44
32 Bangor · runner 3 18:05 44 26–57 18:47
33 Camden Hills · runner 5not in our projection Team 18:10 –
34 Mt. Blue · runner 4 Team 18:11 20 9–40 17:45
35 Mt. Ararat · runner 2 18:13 22 9–41 17:49
36 Edward Little · runner 2 18:25 45 26–57 18:48
37 Camden Hills · runner 6 Team 18:27 32 16–49 18:13
38 Mt. Blue · runner 5 Team 18:32 40 20–54 18:32
39 Mt. Ararat · runner 3 18:36 34 15–49 18:14
40 Brewer · runner 2 18:36 42 25–57 18:45
41 Lewiston · runner 1Beat our range 18:39 64 56–71 20:25
42 Brewer · runner 3 18:41 23 9–42 17:51
43 Mt. Blue · runner 6 Team 18:41 37 18–52 18:24
44 Camden Hills · runner 7 Team 18:48 35 18–51 18:22
45 Brunswick · runner 4not in our projection Team 18:48 –
46 Oxford Hills · runner 4 Team 18:51 33 16–49 18:13
47 Mt. Blue · runner 7not in our projection Team 19:01 –
48 Brewer · runner 4 19:01 48 31–60 19:02
49 Lewiston · runner 2 19:04 39 19–53 18:30
50 Bangor · runner 4 19:04 59 40–64 19:28
51 Oxford Hills · runner 5 Team 19:12 61 44–66 19:42
52 Lewiston · runner 3 19:16 51 34–61 19:11
53 Brunswick · runner 5 Team 19:16 52 35–62 19:12
54 Oxford Hills · runner 6 Team 19:20 58 39–64 19:26
55 Brunswick · runner 6 Team 19:23 53 34–62 19:12
56 Brewer · runner 5 19:24 50 33–61 19:07
57 Mt. Ararat · runner 4 19:30 63 45–66 19:44
58 Edward Little · runner 3 19:32 60 42–65 19:32
59 Mt. Ararat · runner 5 19:40 43 25–57 18:46
60 Skowhegan · runner 2 19:40 66 60–74 20:47
61 Brunswick · runner 7 Team 19:41 57 39–64 19:26
62 Lewiston · runner 4Beat our range 19:41 73 65–77 21:23
63 Messalonskee · runner 6 Team 19:57 54 37–63 19:20
64 Edward Little · runner 4 20:02 56 39–64 19:25
65 Lewiston · runner 5 20:09 67 60–74 20:48
66 Mt. Ararat · runner 6 20:13 62 44–66 19:42
67 Edward Little · runner 5 20:49 72 65–77 21:20
68 Messalonskee · runner 7 Team 21:02 49 31–61 19:03
69 Mt. Ararat · runner 7 21:06 68 61–75 20:53
70 Skowhegan · runner 3 21:14 65 57–72 20:31
71 Skowhegan · runner 4 21:15 69 61–75 20:54
72 Brewer · runner 6 21:37 77 70–79 21:53
73 Bangor · runner 5 21:44 70 62–75 20:58
74 Oxford Hills · runner 7not in our projection Team 21:55 –
75 Lewiston · runner 6 22:02 74 66–77 21:26
76 Skowhegan · runner 5Beat our range 22:09 80 77–81 23:04
77 Lewiston · runner 7 22:23 75 69–78 21:44
78 Edward Little · runner 6Beat our range 22:28 82 81–82 24:14
79 Bangor · runner 6 22:39 78 73–80 22:21
80 Bangor · runner 7not in our projection 22:53 –
81 Brewer · runner 7not in our projection 23:14 –
82 Skowhegan · runner 6 23:34 79 76–81 22:56
83 Skowhegan · runner 7 24:50 83 83–83 25:46
84 Edward Little · runner 7 35:32 84 84–84 34:48

"We had" = the place we projected Friday night, among the runners we projected (some of them didn't start: 6 here; 6 finishers weren't in our projection, mostly late entries). "Our range" = where we expected the runner in 8 of 10 simulated races. "Beat our range" = finished better than the best place we gave. "To States": with their team, or as one of the top 30. We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete; projections are data only and can be wrong.