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We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete. Predictions are data only and can be wrong.

← Regionals, graded · Class B North · Boys

Class B North Boys: runner by runner

Every finisher, next to what we showed before the race (frozen Friday night, never changed): projected place and the range we gave, projected time, and where they really finished.

27 of 30runners we gave a better-than-even chance of the top 30 made it
80 of 95finished inside the place range we gave (built for 8 in 10)
Rightour projected individual winner
-3 sthe race on the day vs our times (+ = slower: course and weather); typical runner miss after that 22 s
Every finisher · by school and number99 ran

Runners are shown by school and number: runner 1 is that team's first finisher in this race. We don't show names (coach accounts only); places and times are the same for everyone.

Place#RunnerTo States est.TimeWe hadOur rangeOur time
1 Caribou · runner 1 Team 16:01 1 1–3 15:41
2 Medomak Valley · runner 1 Team 16:54 4 2–13 16:56
3 Caribou · runner 2 Team 17:00 2 2–12 16:53
4 Caribou · runner 3 Team 17:12 5 2–13 16:59
5 Presque Isle · runner 1 Team 17:15 6 3–17 17:14
6 John Bapst · runner 1 Team 17:25 9 4–22 17:36
7 Foxcroft Academy · runner 1 Top 30 est. 17:26 3 2–13 16:56
8 Mt. Desert Island · runner 1 Team 17:36 16 8–32 18:11
9 John Bapst · runner 2 Team 17:36 14 7–29 18:02
10 Foxcroft Academy · runner 2 Top 30 est. 17:38 8 4–23 17:36
11 Presque Isle · runner 2 Team 17:40 11 6–28 17:53
12 Gardiner · runner 1 Team 17:41 12 6–27 17:53
13 Erskine Academy · runner 1 Team 17:44 10 4–23 17:39
14 Nokomis · runner 1 Top 30 est. 17:52 7 3–19 17:22
15 Cony · runner 1 Top 30 est. 17:56 13 6–29 17:59
16 Mt. Desert Island · runner 2 Team 18:01 15 7–30 18:04
17 Presque Isle · runner 3 Team 18:18 27 15–43 18:48
18 Erskine Academy · runner 2 Team 18:19 20 9–35 18:22
19 John Bapst · runner 3 Team 18:21 21 10–37 18:27
20 Gardiner · runner 2 Team 18:27 22 11–37 18:31
21 Erskine Academy · runner 3 Team 18:28 17 8–32 18:12
22 Presque Isle · runner 4 Team 18:30 29 17–45 18:57
23 John Bapst · runner 4 Team 18:33 30 17–45 18:58
24 Caribou · runner 4 Team 18:35 26 13–40 18:38
25 Gardiner · runner 3 Team 18:36 18 9–34 18:18
26 Ellsworth · runner 1Beat our range Top 30 est. 18:37 48 34–61 20:01
27 John Bapst · runner 5 Team 18:37 32 18–46 19:03
28 Mt. Desert Island · runner 3 Team 18:38 36 21–49 19:16
29 Presque Isle · runner 5 Team 18:40 19 10–35 18:21
30 Caribou · runner 5 Team 18:40 24 12–39 18:34
31 Medomak Valley · runner 2 Team 18:41 28 15–42 18:49
32 John Bapst · runner 6 Team 18:41 35 20–48 19:11
33 Hermon · runner 1 18:45 41 26–54 19:33
34 Caribou · runner 6 Team 18:47 39 24–52 19:26
35 Waterville · runner 1 18:48 23 11–38 18:33
36 Nokomis · runner 2 18:50 34 20–48 19:09
37 Hermon · runner 2 19:02 25 12–40 18:37
38 Waterville · runner 2 19:16 31 17–46 18:59
39 Waterville · runner 3 19:21 44 28–56 19:42
40 Nokomis · runner 3 19:23 46 31–59 19:52
41 Caribou · runner 7 Team 19:23 37 23–52 19:23
42 Cony · runner 2 19:25 38 23–52 19:24
43 Oceanside · runner 1 19:26 33 19–48 19:07
44 Old Town · runner 1 19:29 45 29–58 19:47
45 Nokomis · runner 4 19:34 49 34–61 20:02
46 Medomak Valley · runner 3 Team 19:41 42 26–54 19:33
47 Mt. Desert Island · runner 4 Team 19:47 57 36–75 20:38
48 Cony · runner 3 19:51 40 25–53 19:30
49 Hermon · runner 3 20:05 50 35–61 20:06
50 Medomak Valley · runner 4 Team 20:08 51 36–63 20:10
51 Cony · runner 4 20:12 53 40–66 20:24
52 Cony · runner 5 20:15 43 27–55 19:37
53 Waterville · runner 4 20:16 47 31–59 19:55
54 Mt. Desert Island · runner 5Beat our range Team 20:20 70 55–80 21:24
55 Cony · runner 6 20:23 63 51–76 21:05
56 Oceanside · runner 2 20:30 61 47–72 20:50
57 Oceanside · runner 3 20:33 71 56–80 21:24
58 Medomak Valley · runner 5Beat our range Team 20:37 77 64–87 22:01
59 Erskine Academy · runner 4not in our projection Team 20:45 –
60 Oceanside · runner 4 20:47 62 50–76 21:04
61 John Bapst · runner 7 Team 20:51 54 43–69 20:33
62 Erskine Academy · runner 5 Team 20:54 56 44–69 20:37
63 Hermon · runner 4 21:02 55 44–69 20:36
64 Ellsworth · runner 2 21:07 60 45–72 20:45
65 Belfast · runner 1 21:08 78 65–86 22:03
66 Waterville · runner 5 21:10 59 46–72 20:45
67 Gardiner · runner 4 Team 21:11 72 56–80 21:25
68 Belfast · runner 2 21:13 64 52–77 21:11
69 Gardiner · runner 5 Team 21:16 52 36–63 20:13
70 Nokomis · runner 5 21:28 80 68–88 22:14
71 Oceanside · runner 5 21:31 74 63–85 21:52
72 Nokomis · runner 6 21:40 83 72–90 22:32
73 Mt. Desert Island · runner 6 Team 21:46 75 63–85 21:52
74 Oceanside · runner 6Beat our range 21:48 87 76–91 22:46
75 Erskine Academy · runner 6 Team 21:54 69 55–79 21:22
76 Belfast · runner 3Beat our range 21:56 91 80–93 23:06
77 Belfast · runner 4 22:00 81 70–89 22:22
78 Hermon · runner 5 22:03 58 46–72 20:44
79 Erskine Academy · runner 7not in our projection Team 22:09 –
80 Ellsworth · runner 3 22:12 84 72–90 22:35
81 Hermon · runner 6 22:18 86 73–91 22:38
82 Gardiner · runner 6 Team 22:20 79 66–87 22:06
83 Foxcroft Academy · runner 3 22:48 82 71–90 22:29
84 Gardiner · runner 7not in our projection Team 22:53 –
85 Nokomis · runner 7 22:56 90 78–92 23:00
86 Cony · runner 7not in our projection 23:03 –
87 Ellsworth · runner 4 23:22 89 76–92 22:52
88 Foxcroft Academy · runner 4 23:28 92 86–95 23:45
89 Waterville · runner 6 23:57 68 55–79 21:21
90 Presque Isle · runner 6Beat our range Team 24:13 96 93–97 24:46
91 Mt. Desert Island · runner 7Beat our range Team 24:24 97 93–97 24:52
92 Lawrence · runner 1 24:51 85 72–90 22:35
93 Medomak Valley · runner 6 Team 24:53 93 89–96 24:07
94 Belfast · runner 5 25:19 95 92–97 24:39
95 Old Town · runner 2 27:09 98 95–99 26:35
96 Lawrence · runner 2Beat our range 28:43 99 98–99 27:55
97 Presque Isle · runner 7Beat our range Team 29:38 100 99–100 29:42
98 Foxcroft Academy · runner 5Beat our range 31:53 101 101–101 32:02
99 Foxcroft Academy · runner 6Beat our range 38:55 102 102–102 36:28

"We had" = the place we projected Friday night, among the runners we projected (some of them didn't start: 7 here; 4 finishers weren't in our projection, mostly late entries). "Our range" = where we expected the runner in 8 of 10 simulated races. "Beat our range" = finished better than the best place we gave. "To States": with their team, or as one of the top 30. We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete; projections are data only and can be wrong.