Class D South standings
Freeport leads at 129.688 · top 6 of 7 make it · 6 teams clinched · through Sat 10/31 · MPA official table ↗
1FREFreeport6-2129.688Clinched
2WTHWinthrop7-1123.438Clinched
3MORMorse5-3109.375Clinched
4LISLisbon5-3104.688Clinched
5DIRDirigo2-685.938Clinched
6MVAMountain Valley2-670.313Clinched
7POLPoland1-767.188Out
Class D South · 7 teams · Crabtree order · tags appear only when proven · tap a team for its numbers
· results through Sat Oct 31
Class D South: the top 6 of 7 teams by Crabtree Index make the playoffs. The regular season is over and the seeds are final: #1 Freeport, #2 Winthrop, #3 Morse, #4 Lisbon, #5 Dirigo and #6 Mountain Valley.
Class D South playoff bracket · How the Crabtree Index works · All 11 divisions
Show where each team can finish
Class D South
6 of 7 make itFull table →1 FreeportCrabtree 129.688 6-2 129.6888 counted · all in Projected #1 · avg. finish 1.0Most likely #1 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Fri 10/23vs LisbonW 34-0
- Fri 10/16at DirigoW 42-14
- Thu 10/8at WellsL 24-28
- Fri 10/2vs MorseW 20-6
- Sat 9/26at WinslowL 6-14
- Fri 9/18at PolandW 40-6
- Fri 9/11vs WinthropW 29-28
- Sat 9/5vs MattanawcookW 42-6
Regular season done.
Where Freeport can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #1 = its average finish (1.0). Most likely #1 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #1 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
2 WinthropCrabtree 123.438 7-1 123.4388 counted · all in Projected #2 · avg. finish 2.0Most likely #2 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Fri 10/23at John BapstW 14-6
- Thu 10/15at Mountain ValleyW 29-7
- Fri 10/9vs DirigoW 19-6
- Sat 10/3at Oak HillW 35-0
- Thu 9/24vs PolandW 34-6
- Thu 9/17vs MadisonW 38-8
- Fri 9/11at FreeportL 28-29
- Fri 9/4vs LisbonW 34-3
Regular season done.
Where Winthrop can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #2 = its average finish (2.0). Most likely #2 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #2 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
3 MorseCrabtree 109.375 5-3 109.3758 counted · all in Projected #3 · avg. finish 3.0Most likely #3 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Fri 10/23vs BelfastW 42-8
- Sat 10/17at WinslowL 6-30
- Thu 10/8vs PolandW 40-6
- Fri 10/2at FreeportL 6-20
- Fri 9/25vs LisbonW 28-8
- Fri 9/18vs BiddefordL 8-26
- Fri 9/11at DirigoW 30-15
- Fri 9/4at Mountain ValleyW 16-8
Regular season done.
Where Morse can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #3 = its average finish (3.0). Most likely #3 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #3 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
4 LisbonCrabtree 104.688 5-3 104.6888 counted · all in Projected #4 · avg. finish 4.0Most likely #4 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Fri 10/23at FreeportL 0-34
- Fri 10/16vs Oak HillW 47-14
- Fri 10/9vs MattanawcookW 27-6
- Tue 10/6vs MadisonW 20-18
- Fri 10/2at PolandW 35-16
- Fri 9/25at MorseL 8-28
- Fri 9/18vs Mountain ValleyW 34-6
- Fri 9/4at WinthropL 3-34
Regular season done.
Where Lisbon can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #4 = its average finish (4.0). Most likely #4 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #4 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
5 DirigoCrabtree 85.938 2-6 85.9388 counted · all in Projected #5 · avg. finish 5.0Most likely #5 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Fri 10/23at MCIL 16-23
- Fri 10/16vs FreeportL 14-42
- Fri 10/9at WinthropL 6-19
- Fri 10/2vs LeavittL 0-42
- Fri 9/25at Mountain ValleyW 24-6
- Thu 9/17at John BapstL 6-18
- Fri 9/11vs MorseL 15-30
- Fri 9/4vs PolandW 52-28
Regular season done.
Where Dirigo can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #5 = its average finish (5.0). Most likely #5 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #5 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
6 Mountain ValleyCrabtree 70.313 2-6 70.3138 counted · all in Projected #6 · avg. finish 6.0Most likely #6 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Fri 10/23at PolandW 26-21
- Thu 10/15vs WinthropL 7-29
- Sat 10/10at John BapstL 14-36
- Fri 10/2vs BelfastW 20-0
- Fri 9/25vs DirigoL 6-24
- Fri 9/18at LisbonL 6-34
- Fri 9/11at MattanawcookL 6-14
- Fri 9/4vs MorseL 8-16
Regular season done.
Where Mountain Valley can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #6 = its average finish (6.0). Most likely #6 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #6 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
7 PolandCrabtree 67.188 1-7 67.1888 counted · all in Projected #7 · avg. finish 7.0Most likely #7 (>99%) ELIMINATED
- Fri 10/23vs Mountain ValleyL 21-26
- Fri 10/16at MadisonL 28-34
- Thu 10/8at MorseL 6-40
- Fri 10/2vs LisbonL 16-35
- Thu 9/24at WinthropL 6-34
- Fri 9/18vs FreeportL 6-40
- Fri 9/11vs MCIW 34-14
- Fri 9/4at DirigoL 28-52
Regular season done.
Where Poland can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #7 = its average finish (7.0). Most likely #7 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #7 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
Why?
Projected: each team gets its own spot, in order of its average finish across the simulated seasons (avg. finish). Most likely: the single spot it finished in most often. Tap a team for the % at every spot. Estimates, and they can be wrong.
Class D South
6 of 7 make itFull table →1 Freeport 6-2 Likely #1 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Freeport can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
2 Winthrop 7-1 Likely #2 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Winthrop can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
3 Morse 5-3 Likely #3 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Morse can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
4 Lisbon 5-3 Likely #4 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Lisbon can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
5 Dirigo 2-6 Likely #5 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Dirigo can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
6 Mountain Valley 2-6 Likely #6 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Mountain Valley can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
7 Poland 1-7 Likely #7 · >99% ELIMINATED
Where Poland can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
End of week 10: every place each team can hold once this week's games are final.
Why?
Each cell is how often the team finished in that place in 1,500 played-out seasons: an estimate. Empty cells can't be reached, proven by checking every combination of the remaining results. The outlined cell is where the team stands now. TB: same Crabtree number as another team, placed by the tiebreak order (head-to-head, division record, overall record, Heal points).
We add results as soon as we have them. The MPA updates its official table on its own schedule, so ours can be a step ahead for a day or two. 6 teams qualify (as labelled by the MPA).
Freeport leads Class D South at 129.688 after games through Oct 30. The top 6 of 7 teams make the playoffs. Freeport, Winthrop, Morse, Lisbon, Dirigo and Mountain Valley are mathematically in.
All 11 divisions: the Maine football playoff picture · What if?
What's the Crabtree Index? Crabtree points explained
The Crabtree Index is how Maine seeds high school football. It adds a team's own winning percentage to its opponents' combined winning percentage and multiplies by 100. A higher index means a better seed.
Worked example (a made-up team):
- Team A is 3-1, so its winning percentage is .750.
- Its opponents have won 7 of their 16 games combined, so their winning percentage is .4375.
- Crabtree Index = (.750 + .4375) × 100 = 118.750.
Three things that surprise people
- Your index can move when you don't play. Your opponents' results count, so their wins and losses change your number every week.
- Opponents' records are pooled, not averaged. We add up all their wins over all their games, the way the MPA does.
- Out-of-state and non-classified opponents count in your own record but as 0-0 in the opponents' pool.
Only completed games count. Heal points don't decide football seeds; they're only the fourth tiebreaker, after head-to-head, division record and overall record.
How the Crabtree Index works, step by step · See every division's standings live · Official standings are kept by the Maine Principals' Association.
Quick answers
Who leads Class D South football?
Freeport, at 129.688 on the Crabtree Index, after games through Oct 30.
How many Class D South teams make the playoffs?
The top 6 of 7, as labeled by the MPA.
Has anyone clinched a Class D South playoff spot?
Yes: Freeport, Winthrop, Morse, Lisbon, Dirigo and Mountain Valley are mathematically in. We say a team is in only when every possible result of the games left keeps it in the top 6.