8-Man Small South standings
OOB leads at 139.344 · top 4 of 7 make it · 4 teams clinched · through Sat 10/31 · MPA official table ↗
1OOBOOB8-0139.344Clinched
2BOOBoothbay5-2109.164Clinched
3TELTelstar3-595.565Clinched
4MARMaranacook3-492.857Clinched
5SCVSacopee Valley2-680.000Out
6TRATraip1-760.041Out
7MTVMount View0-741.509Out
8-Man Small South · 7 teams · Crabtree order · tags appear only when proven · tap a team for its numbers
· results through Sat Oct 31
8-Man Small South: the top 4 of 7 teams by Crabtree Index make the playoffs. The regular season is over and the seeds are final: #1 Old Orchard Beach, #2 Boothbay, #3 Telstar and #4 Maranacook.
8-Man Small South playoff bracket · How the Crabtree Index works · All 11 divisions
Show where each team can finish
8-Man Small South
4 of 7 make itFull table →1 OOBCrabtree 139.344 8-0 139.3448 counted · all in Projected #1 · avg. finish 1.0Most likely #1 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Fri 10/23at Mt. AraratW 22-20
- Sat 10/17vs MaranacookW 60-12
- Thu 10/8vs TraipW 66-0
- Fri 10/2at BoothbayW 50-26
- Thu 9/24at Old TownW 22-12
- Fri 9/18vs TelstarW 36-8
- Fri 9/11vs OronoW 30-22
- Sat 9/5at Sacopee ValleyW 48-0
Regular season done.
Where OOB can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #1 = its average finish (1.0). Most likely #1 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #1 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
2 BoothbayCrabtree 109.164 5-2 109.1647 counted · all in Projected #2 · avg. finish 2.0Most likely #2 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Fri 10/23vs Mount ViewW 52-0
- Sat 10/17at TelstarW 28-20
- Fri 10/9at MaranacookW 30-20
- Fri 10/2vs OOBL 26-50
- Fri 9/25at Sacopee ValleyW 32-14
- Fri 9/18vs WatervilleW 30-8
- Fri 9/11at BucksportL 0-26
Regular season done.
Where Boothbay can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #2 = its average finish (2.0). Most likely #2 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #2 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
3 TelstarCrabtree 95.565 3-5 95.5658 counted · all in Projected #3 · avg. finish 3.0Most likely #3 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Sat 10/24at MDIL 28-44
- Sat 10/17vs BoothbayL 20-28
- Fri 10/9at Sacopee ValleyW 70-24
- Sat 10/3vs MaranacookW 38-30
- Fri 9/25at Cape ElizabethL 36-40
- Fri 9/18at OOBL 8-36
- Sat 9/12vs TraipW 60-0
- Sat 9/5vs Spruce MountainL 18-30
Regular season done.
Where Telstar can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #3 = its average finish (3.0). Most likely #3 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #3 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
4 MaranacookCrabtree 92.857 3-4 92.8577 counted · all in Projected #4 · avg. finish 4.0Most likely #4 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Sat 10/24vs Spruce MountainL 6-60
- Sat 10/17at OOBL 12-60
- Fri 10/9vs BoothbayL 20-30
- Sat 10/3at TelstarL 30-38
- Fri 9/18vs DexterW 54-16
- Fri 9/11vs Sacopee ValleyW 47-20
- Sat 9/5at TraipW 60-14
Regular season done.
Where Maranacook can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #4 = its average finish (4.0). Most likely #4 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #4 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
5 Sacopee ValleyCrabtree 80.000 2-6 80.0008 counted · all in Projected #5 · avg. finish 5.0Most likely #5 (>99%) ELIMINATED
- Sat 10/24at StearnsL 14-66
- Sat 10/17at Mount ViewW 62-14
- Fri 10/9vs TelstarL 24-70
- Thu 10/1at TraipW 44-34
- Fri 9/25vs BoothbayL 14-32
- Fri 9/18vs Gray-NGL 6-44
- Fri 9/11at MaranacookL 20-47
- Sat 9/5vs OOBL 0-48
Regular season done.
Where Sacopee Valley can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #5 = its average finish (5.0). Most likely #5 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #5 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
6 TraipCrabtree 60.041 1-7 60.0418 counted · all in Projected #6 · avg. finish 6.0Most likely #6 (>99%) ELIMINATED
- Sat 10/24vs Lake RegionL 20-58
- Fri 10/16at Spruce MountainL 0-60
- Thu 10/8at OOBL 0-66
- Thu 10/1vs Sacopee ValleyL 34-44
- Sat 9/26at Mount ViewW 36-12
- Sat 9/19vs Washington AcademyL 6-66
- Sat 9/12at TelstarL 0-60
- Sat 9/5vs MaranacookL 14-60
Regular season done.
Where Traip can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #6 = its average finish (6.0). Most likely #6 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #6 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
7 Mount ViewCrabtree 41.509 0-7 41.5097 counted · all in Projected #7 · avg. finish 7.0Most likely #7 (>99%) ELIMINATED
- Fri 10/23at BoothbayL 0-52
- Sat 10/17vs Sacopee ValleyL 14-62
- Fri 10/9at Gray-NGL 0-62
- Sat 10/3vs DexterL 6-36
- Sat 9/26vs TraipL 12-36
- Sat 9/12vs Cape ElizabethL 14-66
- Sat 9/5at WatervilleL 18-32
Regular season done.
Where Mount View can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #7 = its average finish (7.0). Most likely #7 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #7 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
Why?
Projected: each team gets its own spot, in order of its average finish across the simulated seasons (avg. finish). Most likely: the single spot it finished in most often. Tap a team for the % at every spot. Estimates, and they can be wrong.
8-Man Small South
4 of 7 make itFull table →1 OOB 8-0 Likely #1 · >99% CLINCHED
Where OOB can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
2 Boothbay 5-2 Likely #2 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Boothbay can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
3 Telstar 3-5 Likely #3 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Telstar can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
4 Maranacook 3-4 Likely #4 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Maranacook can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
5 Sacopee Valley 2-6 Likely #5 · >99% ELIMINATED
Where Sacopee Valley can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
6 Traip 1-7 Likely #6 · >99% ELIMINATED
Where Traip can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
7 Mount View 0-7 Likely #7 · >99% ELIMINATED
Where Mount View can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
End of week 10: every place each team can hold once this week's games are final.
Why?
Each cell is how often the team finished in that place in 1,500 played-out seasons: an estimate. Empty cells can't be reached, proven by checking every combination of the remaining results. The outlined cell is where the team stands now. TB: same Crabtree number as another team, placed by the tiebreak order (head-to-head, division record, overall record, Heal points).
We add results as soon as we have them. The MPA updates its official table on its own schedule, so ours can be a step ahead for a day or two. 4 teams qualify (as labelled by the MPA).
OOB leads 8-Man Small South at 139.344 after games through Oct 30. The top 4 of 7 teams make the playoffs. OOB, Boothbay, Telstar and Maranacook are mathematically in.
All 11 divisions: the Maine football playoff picture · What if?
What's the Crabtree Index? Crabtree points explained
The Crabtree Index is how Maine seeds high school football. It adds a team's own winning percentage to its opponents' combined winning percentage and multiplies by 100. A higher index means a better seed.
Worked example (a made-up team):
- Team A is 3-1, so its winning percentage is .750.
- Its opponents have won 7 of their 16 games combined, so their winning percentage is .4375.
- Crabtree Index = (.750 + .4375) × 100 = 118.750.
Three things that surprise people
- Your index can move when you don't play. Your opponents' results count, so their wins and losses change your number every week.
- Opponents' records are pooled, not averaged. We add up all their wins over all their games, the way the MPA does.
- Out-of-state and non-classified opponents count in your own record but as 0-0 in the opponents' pool.
Only completed games count. Heal points don't decide football seeds; they're only the fourth tiebreaker, after head-to-head, division record and overall record.
How the Crabtree Index works, step by step · See every division's standings live · Official standings are kept by the Maine Principals' Association.
Quick answers
Who leads 8-Man Small South football?
OOB, at 139.344 on the Crabtree Index, after games through Oct 30.
How many 8-Man Small South teams make the playoffs?
The top 4 of 7, as labeled by the MPA.
Has anyone clinched a 8-Man Small South playoff spot?
Yes: OOB, Boothbay, Telstar and Maranacook are mathematically in. We say a team is in only when every possible result of the games left keeps it in the top 4.