Class D North standings
Winslow leads at 137.500 · top 6 of 7 make it · 6 teams clinched · through Sat 10/31 · MPA official table ↗
1WSLWinslow7-1137.500Clinched
2MCIMCI6-2103.125Clinched
3JOHJohn Bapst4-498.438Clinched
4MATMattanawcook3-589.063Clinched
5MADMadison2-685.938Clinched
6OAHOak Hill1-770.313Clinched
7BELBelfast2-664.063Out
Class D North · 7 teams · Crabtree order · tags appear only when proven · tap a team for its numbers
· results through Sat Oct 31
Class D North: the top 6 of 7 teams by Crabtree Index make the playoffs. The regular season is over and the seeds are final: #1 Winslow, #2 Maine Central Institute, #3 John Bapst, #4 Mattanawcook Academy, #5 Madison and #6 Oak Hill.
Class D North playoff bracket · How the Crabtree Index works · All 11 divisions
Show where each team can finish
Class D North
6 of 7 make itFull table →1 WinslowCrabtree 137.500 7-1 137.5008 counted · all in Projected #1 · avg. finish 1.0Most likely #1 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Sat 10/24vs MadisonW 50-18
- Sat 10/17vs MorseW 30-6
- Fri 10/9at MCIW 38-6
- Fri 10/2at MattanawcookW 44-0
- Sat 9/26vs FreeportW 14-6
- Sat 9/19vs Oak HillW 46-6
- Fri 9/11at John BapstW 26-6
- Fri 9/4at WellsL 13-14
Regular season done.
Where Winslow can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #1 = its average finish (1.0). Most likely #1 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #1 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
2 MCICrabtree 103.125 6-2 103.1258 counted · all in Projected #2 · avg. finish 2.0Most likely #2 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Fri 10/23vs DirigoW 23-16
- Fri 10/16at BelfastW 17-0
- Fri 10/9vs WinslowL 6-38
- Fri 10/2at MadisonW 21-12
- Fri 9/25at HampdenW 28-13
- Fri 9/18vs MattanawcookW 27-25
- Fri 9/11at PolandL 14-34
- Fri 9/4vs Oak HillW 42-8
Regular season done.
Where MCI can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #2 = its average finish (2.0). Most likely #2 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #2 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
3 John BapstCrabtree 98.438 4-4 98.4388 counted · all in Projected #3 · avg. finish 3.0Most likely #3 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Fri 10/23vs WinthropL 6-14
- Fri 10/16at MattanawcookW 44-26
- Sat 10/10vs Mountain ValleyW 36-14
- Fri 10/2at FoxcroftL 14-45
- Sat 9/26at Oak HillW 26-12
- Thu 9/17vs DirigoW 18-6
- Fri 9/11vs WinslowL 6-26
- Fri 9/4at MadisonL 40-46
Regular season done.
Where John Bapst can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #3 = its average finish (3.0). Most likely #3 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #3 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
4 MattanawcookCrabtree 89.063 3-5 89.0638 counted · all in Projected #4 · avg. finish 4.0Most likely #4 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Sat 10/24at Oak HillW 56-34
- Fri 10/16vs John BapstL 26-44
- Fri 10/9at LisbonL 6-27
- Fri 10/2vs WinslowL 0-44
- Fri 9/25vs BelfastW 41-20
- Fri 9/18at MCIL 25-27
- Fri 9/11vs Mountain ValleyW 14-6
- Sat 9/5at FreeportL 6-42
Regular season done.
Where Mattanawcook can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #4 = its average finish (4.0). Most likely #4 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #4 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
5 MadisonCrabtree 85.938 2-6 85.9388 counted · all in Projected #5 · avg. finish 5.0Most likely #5 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Sat 10/24at WinslowL 18-50
- Fri 10/16vs PolandW 34-28
- Fri 10/9at BelfastL 14-16
- Tue 10/6at LisbonL 18-20
- Fri 10/2vs MCIL 12-21
- Fri 9/25vs FoxcroftL 7-41
- Thu 9/17at WinthropL 8-38
- Fri 9/4vs John BapstW 46-40
Regular season done.
Where Madison can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #5 = its average finish (5.0). Most likely #5 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #5 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
6 Oak HillCrabtree 70.313 1-7 70.3138 counted · all in Projected #6 · avg. finish 6.0Most likely #6 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Sat 10/24vs MattanawcookL 34-56
- Fri 10/16at LisbonL 14-47
- Fri 10/9at YorkL 28-40
- Sat 10/3vs WinthropL 0-35
- Sat 9/26vs John BapstL 12-26
- Sat 9/19at WinslowL 6-46
- Sat 9/12vs BelfastW 49-36
- Fri 9/4at MCIL 8-42
Regular season done.
Where Oak Hill can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #6 = its average finish (6.0). Most likely #6 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #6 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
7 BelfastCrabtree 64.063 2-6 64.0638 counted · all in Projected #7 · avg. finish 7.0Most likely #7 (>99%) ELIMINATED
- Fri 10/23at MorseL 8-42
- Fri 10/16vs MCIL 0-17
- Fri 10/9vs MadisonW 16-14
- Fri 10/2at Mountain ValleyL 0-20
- Fri 9/25at MattanawcookL 20-41
- Fri 9/18vs OceansideL 6-44
- Sat 9/12at Oak HillL 36-49
- Fri 9/4vs BrewerW 28-26
Regular season done.
Where Belfast can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #7 = its average finish (7.0). Most likely #7 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #7 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
Why?
Projected: each team gets its own spot, in order of its average finish across the simulated seasons (avg. finish). Most likely: the single spot it finished in most often. Tap a team for the % at every spot. Estimates, and they can be wrong.
Class D North
6 of 7 make itFull table →1 Winslow 7-1 Likely #1 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Winslow can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
2 MCI 6-2 Likely #2 · >99% CLINCHED
Where MCI can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
3 John Bapst 4-4 Likely #3 · >99% CLINCHED
Where John Bapst can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
4 Mattanawcook 3-5 Likely #4 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Mattanawcook can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
5 Madison 2-6 Likely #5 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Madison can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
6 Oak Hill 1-7 Likely #6 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Oak Hill can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
7 Belfast 2-6 Likely #7 · >99% ELIMINATED
Where Belfast can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
End of week 10: every place each team can hold once this week's games are final.
Why?
Each cell is how often the team finished in that place in 1,500 played-out seasons: an estimate. Empty cells can't be reached, proven by checking every combination of the remaining results. The outlined cell is where the team stands now. TB: same Crabtree number as another team, placed by the tiebreak order (head-to-head, division record, overall record, Heal points).
We add results as soon as we have them. The MPA updates its official table on its own schedule, so ours can be a step ahead for a day or two. 6 teams qualify (as labelled by the MPA).
Winslow leads Class D North at 137.500 after games through Oct 30. The top 6 of 7 teams make the playoffs. Winslow, MCI, John Bapst, Mattanawcook, Madison and Oak Hill are mathematically in.
All 11 divisions: the Maine football playoff picture · What if?
What's the Crabtree Index? Crabtree points explained
The Crabtree Index is how Maine seeds high school football. It adds a team's own winning percentage to its opponents' combined winning percentage and multiplies by 100. A higher index means a better seed.
Worked example (a made-up team):
- Team A is 3-1, so its winning percentage is .750.
- Its opponents have won 7 of their 16 games combined, so their winning percentage is .4375.
- Crabtree Index = (.750 + .4375) × 100 = 118.750.
Three things that surprise people
- Your index can move when you don't play. Your opponents' results count, so their wins and losses change your number every week.
- Opponents' records are pooled, not averaged. We add up all their wins over all their games, the way the MPA does.
- Out-of-state and non-classified opponents count in your own record but as 0-0 in the opponents' pool.
Only completed games count. Heal points don't decide football seeds; they're only the fourth tiebreaker, after head-to-head, division record and overall record.
How the Crabtree Index works, step by step · See every division's standings live · Official standings are kept by the Maine Principals' Association.
Quick answers
Who leads Class D North football?
Winslow, at 137.500 on the Crabtree Index, after games through Oct 30.
How many Class D North teams make the playoffs?
The top 6 of 7, as labeled by the MPA.
Has anyone clinched a Class D North playoff spot?
Yes: Winslow, MCI, John Bapst, Mattanawcook, Madison and Oak Hill are mathematically in. We say a team is in only when every possible result of the games left keeps it in the top 6.