Maine high school cross country
2026 season · team scores recomputed from every finish order · runners shown by school and number
We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete. Predictions are data only and can be wrong.
State meet: who wins each class
Classes A, B and C at Cony High School, Augusta. Every team and runner that qualified at the Regionals, projected from every 2026 result we have, the Regionals included. Chances, not calls: each comes from 4,000 simulated races.
Frozen Fri Oct 30, 11:30 PM · the numbers we'll grade after the race| Class | Region | Teams that went | Individuals |
|---|---|---|---|
| A | North | Hampden Academy, Camden Hills, Messalonskee, Mt. Blue, Oxford Hills, Brunswicktop 6 of 12 teams | 6 |
| A | South | Portland, Thornton Academy, Bonny Eagle, Scarborough, Gorham, Falmouth, Sanford, South Portland, Massabesictop 9 of 17 teams | 3 |
| B | North | Caribou, John Bapst, Presque Isle, Mt. Desert Island, Erskine Academy, Medomak Valley, Gardinertop 7 of 14 teams | 5 |
| B | South | Yarmouth, Freeport, Cape Elizabeth, Greely, Lake Region, Yorktop 6 of 11 teams | 7 |
| C | North | Houlton/GHCA, George Stevens Academy, Orono, Bucksport, Washington Academy, MCItop 6 of 10 teams | 4 |
| C | South | Winthrop, Maranacook, Carrabec, Waynflete, Dirigo, Madison, Boothbay/Wiscassettop 7 of 12 teams | 7 |
Who runs. From the Regionals results: in each regional, the teams that finished inside the state-meet line (half of the teams, at least four) and every runner in the top 30. A qualified team runs the runners who ran for it at its regional; if the MPA posts its own entry list, we switch to it. The MPA decides who qualifies.
Each runner's time. The same model as the Regionals page: every 2026 race, with course, weather, race day and season fitness taken out, then put on the Cony course with Saturday's forecast.
The race, 4,000 times. Every runner's time moves as much as runners' times really do (more for runners with few races), and each team gets a shared good or bad day. One change from the Regionals, tested before we made it: the boys' shared team day is now 10 s (was 20 s). On the 2026 Regionals and the 2024 and 2025 State meets, a smaller boys' team day predicted the winners better every time; the girls' (12 s) already did best and stays. Scoring: NFHS (5 score, 6th and 7th displace, a tie goes to the better 6th runner).
Chances, not calls. "Finish a–b" is where a team lands in 8 of 10 simulated races. Tiny chances show as est. <1% and near-certain ones as est. >99%: nothing is ever a sure thing.