We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete. Predictions are data only and can be wrong.
Sanford Girls
Class A South regional, Twin Brook Recreation Area, Cumberland. SMAA. 6 runners entered to run.
Projection · frozen Fri Oct 23, 11:30 PM, before the race · now graded →Projected finish13 of 16 (360 pts)
Likely finish (8 of 10 races)13–15
State meet linetop 8 teams
Simulated races4,000
Results throughOct 20
Course+10 s vs median
Sat forecast, 10 AM–1 PMnot stored in the freeze
Chance to win est.<1%
Top 3 est.<1%
To States est.<1%est. <1% before the conference meets
Projected points360
Team strength
Average of the scoring five (projected 5K)24:42
Pack: 1st to 5th runner285 s
Scoring five's projected places42 · 43 · 89 · 92 · 106
6th runner behind the 5th223 s
Against the teams around them
Gorham (projected 12)-47 s per runner
Last team inside the cut: Deering215 pts
Their points vs the last team in+145
"+ s per runner" = how much slower that team's five average (a minus = faster). Fewer points is better.
Sanford runners
Runners are shown by number: runner 1 is the team's first runner in our projection. We don't show names (coach accounts only); times and places are the same for everyone.
| Team # | Runner | Time | Top 30 est. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Runner 1SCORERprojected #42 overall | 22:40 | 21%top 30 |
| 2 | Runner 2SCORERprojected #43 overall | 22:40 | 23%top 30 |
| 3 | Runner 3SCORERprojected #89 overall | 25:16 | <1%top 30 |
| 4 | Runner 4SCORERprojected #92 overall | 25:30 | <1%top 30 |
| 5 | Runner 5SCORERprojected #106 overall | 27:25 | <1%top 30 |
| 6 | Runner 6DISPLACERprojected #112 overall | 31:08 | <1%top 30 |
Chances, not calls: from 4,000 simulated regionals with the entered runners only. The MPA decides who qualifies. This is the projection we froze before the race. How we got the numbers.