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We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete. Predictions are data only and can be wrong.

← Regionals, graded · Class C South · Girls

Class C South Girls: runner by runner

Every finisher, next to what we showed before the race (frozen Friday night, never changed): projected place and the range we gave, projected time, and where they really finished.

23 of 26runners we gave a better-than-even chance of the top 30 made it
55 of 76finished inside the place range we gave (built for 8 in 10)
Rightour projected individual winner
+11 sthe race on the day vs our times (+ = slower: course and weather); typical runner miss after that 38 s
Every finisher · by school and number77 ran

Runners are shown by school and number: runner 1 is that team's first finisher in this race. We don't show names (coach accounts only); places and times are the same for everyone.

Place#RunnerTo States est.TimeWe hadOur rangeOur time
1 Maranacook · runner 1 Team 19:53 1 1–2 19:03
2 Dirigo · runner 1 Top 30 est. 20:37 5 2–12 21:19
3 Winthrop · runner 1 Team 20:46 3 2–11 21:05
4 Waynflete · runner 1 Team 21:38 6 3–13 21:30
5 Madison · runner 1 Top 30 est. 21:57 2 2–8 20:38
6 Boothbay/Wiscasset · runner 1 Team 22:05 11 3–27 22:27
7 NYA · runner 1Beat our range Team 22:08 17 10–28 23:10
8 Traip Academy · runner 1 Top 30 est. 22:12 4 2–12 21:17
9 Maine Coast Waldorf · runner 1 Team 22:19 8 4–17 21:53
10 Maine Coast Waldorf · runner 2 Team 22:34 7 3–16 21:49
11 Winthrop · runner 2 Team 22:46 18 10–29 23:12
12 Hall-Dale · runner 1 Top 30 est. 22:50 12 6–22 22:28
13 Monmouth Academy · runner 1 Top 30 est. 22:54 10 6–21 22:23
14 Boothbay/Wiscasset · runner 2 Team 22:55 19 12–31 23:27
15 Forest Hills · runner 1 Top 30 est. 23:09 13 7–23 22:39
16 Maine Coast Waldorf · runner 3 Team 23:10 16 8–26 22:56
17 NYA · runner 2 Team 23:30 15 8–25 22:51
18 Maine Coast Waldorf · runner 4 Team 23:32 23 14–34 23:49
19 Carrabec · runner 1 Top 30 est. 23:47 27 17–38 24:13
20 Dirigo · runner 2 Top 30 est. 23:47 30 20–42 24:36
21 Boothbay/Wiscasset · runner 3 Team 23:50 22 14–35 23:47
22 Maranacook · runner 2 Team 23:50 20 12–31 23:29
23 Maine Coast Waldorf · runner 5Beat our range Team 23:54 36 24–46 25:06
24 Lisbon · runner 1Beat our range Top 30 est. 24:18 37 25–47 25:09
25 Richmond · runner 1 Top 30 est. 24:20 35 24–46 25:02
26 Hall-Dale · runner 2 Top 30 est. 24:26 31 20–42 24:36
27 Boothbay/Wiscasset · runner 4Beat our range Team 24:32 47 35–54 26:09
28 Maranacook · runner 3 Team 24:37 33 23–45 24:54
29 Waynflete · runner 2 Team 24:37 26 17–38 24:10
30 NYA · runner 3 Team 24:37 29 19–41 24:28
31 Maine Coast Waldorf · runner 6 Team 24:37 25 15–36 23:55
32 NYA · runner 4 Team 24:45 21 12–32 23:34
33 Maranacook · runner 4 Team 24:47 28 19–41 24:27
34 Maine Coast Waldorf · runner 7 Team 24:51 32 21–42 24:37
35 Winthrop · runner 3 Team 24:54 42 30–50 25:40
36 Waynflete · runner 3 Team 25:09 38 27–47 25:15
37 Carrabec · runner 2 25:19 41 30–50 25:34
38 Winthrop · runner 4Beat our range Team 25:39 51 42–59 26:53
39 Maranacook · runner 5 Team 25:45 34 23–45 24:55
40 Dirigo · runner 3 25:51 46 33–53 25:58
41 Valley · runner 1 25:52 39 28–48 25:24
42 Forest Hills · runner 2 26:03 45 33–52 25:58
43 Waynflete · runner 4 Team 26:36 49 39–57 26:36
44 Old Orchard Beach · runner 1 26:41 52 43–60 27:01
45 Carrabec · runner 3Beat our range 26:52 65 56–71 28:44
46 Boothbay/Wiscasset · runner 5 Team 26:59 43 33–52 25:52
47 Carrabec · runner 4 27:14 53 45–62 27:14
48 Waynflete · runner 5Beat our range Team 27:23 58 51–67 28:02
49 Old Orchard Beach · runner 2 27:33 56 48–64 27:36
50 Boothbay/Wiscasset · runner 6Beat our range Team 27:34 60 53–69 28:20
51 Oak Hill · runner 1 27:39 55 48–64 27:34
52 Winthrop · runner 5 Team 27:40 59 51–67 28:08
53 Maranacook · runner 6Beat our range Team 27:41 67 58–71 28:58
54 Richmond · runner 2Beat our range 27:49 69 58–72 29:03
55 NYA · runner 5 Team 28:00 50 41–59 26:48
56 Waynflete · runner 6 Team 28:05 54 47–63 27:27
57 Hall-Dale · runner 3 28:14 57 49–65 27:42
58 Waynflete · runner 7not in our projection Team 28:27 –
59 Winthrop · runner 6 Team 28:44 61 54–69 28:26
60 Forest Hills · runner 3 28:48 66 57–71 28:49
61 Monmouth Academy · runner 2Beat our range 28:56 72 67–76 30:20
62 Dirigo · runner 4 29:32 64 54–69 28:30
63 Lisbon · runner 2Beat our range 30:59 71 64–74 29:46
64 Dirigo · runner 5Beat our range 31:30 74 69–77 30:42
65 Winthrop · runner 7 Team 31:55 70 61–73 29:25
66 Lisbon · runner 3Beat our range 32:26 75 70–77 30:51
67 Monmouth Academy · runner 3 32:48 63 54–70 28:29
68 Madison · runner 2 33:08 73 67–76 30:24
69 Lisbon · runner 4Beat our range 33:38 78 76–81 32:47
70 Madison · runner 3Beat our range 34:05 82 80–84 34:35
71 Richmond · runner 3Beat our range 34:13 79 76–81 32:50
72 Carrabec · runner 5 34:58 76 72–78 31:17
73 Forest Hills · runner 4Beat our range 36:40 83 80–85 35:16
74 Forest Hills · runner 5 36:48 80 73–84 33:17
75 Richmond · runner 4Beat our range 37:28 85 82–85 36:11
76 Lisbon · runner 5Beat our range 40:35 88 86–88 39:01
77 Old Orchard Beach · runner 3Beat our range 41:30 87 86–88 38:21

"We had" = the place we projected Friday night, among the runners we projected (some of them didn't start: 12 here; 1 finishers weren't in our projection, mostly late entries). "Our range" = where we expected the runner in 8 of 10 simulated races. "Beat our range" = finished better than the best place we gave. "To States": with their team, or as one of the top 30. We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete; projections are data only and can be wrong.