We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete. Predictions are data only and can be wrong.

← Regionals, graded · Class B North · Girls

Class B North Girls: runner by runner

Every finisher, next to what we showed before the race (frozen Friday night, never changed): projected place and the range we gave, projected time, and where they really finished.

23 of 25runners we gave a better-than-even chance of the top 30 made it

63 of 70finished inside the place range we gave (built for 8 in 10)

Rightour projected individual winner

+5 sthe race on the day vs our times (+ = slower: course and weather); typical runner miss after that 29 s

Every finisher · by school and number73 ran

Runners are shown by school and number: runner 1 is that team's first finisher in this race. We don't show names (coach accounts only); places and times are the same for everyone.

Place#	Runner	To States est.	Time	We had	Our range	Our time
1	Caribou · runner 1	Team	18:44	1	1–5	18:10
2	Mt. Desert Island · runner 1	Team	18:55	2	1–11	19:08
3	Mt. Desert Island · runner 2	Team	19:19	4	2–13	19:25
4	Presque Isle · runner 1	Team	19:47	3	2–11	19:10
5	Ellsworth · runner 1	Top 30 est.	19:49	6	2–14	19:35
6	John Bapst · runner 1	Team	19:58	9	4–18	20:03
7	Presque Isle · runner 2	Team	20:08	5	2–13	19:32
8	Caribou · runner 2	Team	20:08	7	3–16	19:52
9	Nokomis · runner 1	Top 30 est.	20:20	8	3–17	19:56
10	Mt. Desert Island · runner 3	Team	20:20	13	6–22	20:35
11	Caribou · runner 3	Team	20:23	15	8–25	20:54
12	Presque Isle · runner 3	Team	20:32	11	4–19	20:13
13	Waterville · runner 1	Team	21:08	12	5–20	20:20
14	John Bapst · runner 2	Team	21:10	14	7–24	20:48
15	Mt. Desert Island · runner 4	Team	21:14	16	10–28	21:13
16	Mt. Desert Island · runner 5not in our projection	Team	21:19	–
17	Cony · runner 1	Top 30 est.	21:21	17	10–28	21:17
18	Presque Isle · runner 4	Team	21:23	18	11–30	21:25
19	Mt. Desert Island · runner 6	Team	21:28	23	14–35	21:51
20	John Bapst · runner 3	Team	21:33	22	14–34	21:48
21	Waterville · runner 2	Team	21:41	25	16–37	22:03
22	Old Town · runner 1	Top 30 est.	21:49	20	12–32	21:33
23	Mt. Desert Island · runner 7	Team	22:06	21	13–33	21:40
24	Medomak Valley · runner 1	Top 30 est.	22:11	19	11–30	21:25
25	Ellsworth · runner 2	Top 30 est.	22:28	30	21–44	22:41
26	Lawrence · runner 1	Top 30 est.	22:29	32	23–47	22:58
27	Ellsworth · runner 3	Top 30 est.	22:36	33	24–47	23:00
28	Hermon · runner 1	Top 30 est.	22:38	36	25–49	23:12
29	Cony · runner 2	Top 30 est.	22:38	41	27–50	23:19
30	Gardiner · runner 1	Top 30 est.	22:40	43	28–52	23:34
31	John Bapst · runner 4	Team	22:40	35	25–49	23:11
32	Waterville · runner 3	Team	22:42	29	20–44	22:40
33	Waterville · runner 4	Team	22:51	27	19–41	22:27
34	Presque Isle · runner 5	Team	22:52	39	26–49	23:15
35	Caribou · runner 4	Team	23:00	34	24–49	23:08
36	Waterville · runner 5	Team	23:00	26	18–39	22:17
37	Cony · runner 3		23:20	37	25–49	23:13
38	Belfast · runner 1		23:21	28	20–44	22:37
39	Presque Isle · runner 6	Team	23:28	40	26–49	23:15
40	Old Town · runner 2		23:32	38	25–49	23:13
41	Waterville · runner 6	Team	23:41	46	30–53	23:43
42	Old Town · runner 3		23:47	48	31–54	23:49
43	Old Town · runner 4		23:58	49	33–56	24:01
44	Gardiner · runner 2		24:05	52	42–61	24:44
45	John Bapst · runner 5	Team	24:06	51	36–57	24:14
46	Caribou · runner 5	Team	24:12	42	27–51	23:28
47	Belfast · runner 2Beat our range		24:15	62	53–67	25:53
48	Lawrence · runner 2		24:23	44	29–53	23:36
49	Old Town · runner 5		24:28	56	46–64	25:13
50	Lawrence · runner 3		24:39	45	30–54	23:42
51	Waterville · runner 7	Team	24:39	47	31–54	23:44
52	Presque Isle · runner 7not in our projection	Team	24:49	–
53	Erskine Academy · runner 1		25:15	60	51–66	25:41
54	Gardiner · runner 3		25:17	54	46–63	25:11
55	Caribou · runner 6	Team	25:22	58	48–65	25:22
56	Nokomis · runner 2Beat our range		25:24	64	57–68	26:25
57	Gardiner · runner 4		26:13	55	46–63	25:12
58	Foxcroft Academy · runner 1		26:16	53	45–63	25:02
59	John Bapst · runner 6	Team	26:19	59	48–64	25:22
60	Belfast · runner 3		26:25	63	57–68	26:24
61	Caribou · runner 7	Team	26:39	50	36–57	24:11
62	Gardiner · runner 5		26:55	68	61–70	27:08
63	Lawrence · runner 4		27:00	57	47–64	25:14
64	Lawrence · runner 5		27:28	67	59–69	26:48
65	Lawrence · runner 6		27:39	69	64–71	27:40
66	Ellsworth · runner 4		28:05	65	57–68	26:26
67	Hermon · runner 2Beat our range		30:09	71	69–74	28:54
68	Cony · runner 4		31:01	70	68–73	28:38
69	Erskine Academy · runner 2		31:07	72	63–76	29:10
70	Lawrence · runner 7not in our projection		32:21	–
71	Gardiner · runner 6Beat our range		33:11	76	74–76	31:34
72	Cony · runner 5Beat our range		35:12	78	77–78	35:35
73	Nokomis · runner 3Beat our range		36:48	77	76–78	33:32

"We had" = the place we projected Friday night, among the runners we projected (some of them didn't start: 8 here; 3 finishers weren't in our projection, mostly late entries). "Our range" = where we expected the runner in 8 of 10 simulated races. "Beat our range" = finished better than the best place we gave. "To States": with their team, or as one of the top 30. We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete; projections are data only and can be wrong.