We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete. Predictions are data only and can be wrong.

← State meet, graded · Class C · Girls

Class C Girls: team by team, runner by runner

Every team and every finisher, next to what we showed before the race (frozen Fri Oct 30, 11:30 PM, never changed): projected place and the range we gave, projected time, and where they really finished.

Rightour projected team winner, Maine Coast Waldorf (est. 79% to win); Maine Coast Waldorf won
2 of 3teams we gave a better-than-even top-3 chance finished top 3
5 of 7runners we gave a better-than-even chance of the top 10 made it
Rightour projected individual winner
Teams9 scored
Finish#TeamPtsWe hadOur rangeOur ptsWin chance est.Top 3 est.
1 Maine Coast Waldorf 581 1–269 79%99%
2 NYABeat our range 855 3–7125 <1%16%
3 George Stevens Academy 1032 1–490 17%87%
4 Maranacook 1124 2–6122 1%35%
5 Orono 1303 2–6113 2%51%
6 Boothbay/Wiscasset 1346 3–7136 <1%12%
7 Winthrop 1407 6–9157 <1%<1%
8 Waynflete 1499 6–10167 <1%<1%
9 Calais 1678 7–10164 <1%<1%
– Narraguagusfewer than five finishers, no team score –10 7–10178 <1%<1%

8 of 10 teams finished inside the place range we gave (built for 8 in 10); 7 within one place of where we had them. Official MPA team scores: only qualified teams score.

Every finisher · by school and number77 ran

Runners are shown by school and number: runner 1 is that school's first finisher in this race. We don't show names (coach accounts only); places and times are the same for everyone.

Place#RunnerTimeWe hadOur rangeOur time
1 Maranacook · runner 1 19:53 1 1–2 19:24
2 Dirigo · runner 1individual qualifier 20:34 5 2–16 21:36
3 Winthrop · runner 1 20:56 3 2–13 21:20
4 George Stevens Academy · runner 1 21:38 4 2–16 21:35
5 George Stevens Academy · runner 2 21:38 10 4–23 22:15
6 Waynflete · runner 1 21:44 7 3–18 21:47
7 Maine Coast Waldorf · runner 1 21:48 8 4–22 22:12
8 Maine Coast Waldorf · runner 2 21:48 9 4–23 22:15
9 NYA · runner 1Beat our range 21:59 21 11–39 23:17
10 Orono · runner 1not in our projection 22:06 –
11 Boothbay/Wiscasset · runner 1 22:20 15 6–29 22:41
12 Traip Academy · runner 1individual qualifier 22:25 6 2–16 21:39
13 NYA · runner 2not in our projection 22:28 –
14 Hall-Dale · runner 1individual qualifier 22:37 16 7–31 22:45
15 Dexter · runner 1individual qualifier 22:44 11 5–25 22:24
16 Maine Coast Waldorf · runner 3 22:49 19 10–38 23:12
17 Madison · runner 1individual qualifier 22:58 2 2–11 21:06
18 Winthrop · runner 2 22:58 23 12–42 23:30
19 NYA · runner 3 23:11 20 10–38 23:17
20 Orono · runner 2 23:11 12 5–27 22:29
21 Forest Hills · runner 1individual qualifier 23:22 18 9–35 23:02
22 Maine Coast Waldorf · runner 4 23:24 32 18–50 24:02
23 Maine Coast Waldorf · runner 5Beat our range 23:28 48 29–61 24:56
24 MCI · runner 1individual qualifier 23:31 33 18–50 24:02
25 Monmouth Academy · runner 1individual qualifier 23:33 14 6–30 22:41
26 Calais · runner 1 23:34 13 6–29 22:41
27 Maranacook · runner 2 23:40 27 16–47 23:51
28 Orono · runner 3 23:47 26 15–45 23:45
29 NYA · runner 4 23:48 45 28–60 24:49
30 Dirigo · runner 2individual qualifier 23:51 42 26–59 24:42
31 Boothbay/Wiscasset · runner 2 23:52 34 19–51 24:07
32 Narraguagus · runner 1 23:58 37 21–54 24:18
33 Calais · runner 2 24:00 29 16–49 23:58
34 Dexter · runner 2individual qualifier 24:01 28 17–48 23:57
35 Waynflete · runner 2 24:04 39 23–56 24:27
36 Maine Coast Waldorf · runner 6 24:05 36 20–52 24:13
37 Maranacook · runner 3 24:12 50 32–62 25:07
38 Bangor Christian · runner 1individual qualifier 24:12 24 14–45 23:42
39 Maranacook · runner 4 24:17 44 27–59 24:48
40 George Stevens Academy · runner 3 24:20 31 17–49 24:01
41 Calais · runner 3 24:22 38 21–54 24:20
42 Boothbay/Wiscasset · runner 3Beat our range 24:26 62 44–68 25:53
43 NYA · runner 5 24:30 30 17–49 23:59
44 Richmond · runner 1individual qualifier 24:40 51 33–63 25:11
45 Boothbay/Wiscasset · runner 4 24:42 25 14–46 23:43
46 Dexter · runner 3individual qualifier 24:46 47 29–60 24:55
47 George Stevens Academy · runner 4 24:53 41 26–58 24:41
48 Waynflete · runner 3 24:58 57 39–66 25:35
49 Carrabec · runner 1individual qualifier 24:59 40 23–56 24:31
50 George Stevens Academy · runner 5 25:06 43 26–59 24:43
51 Houlton/GHCA · runner 1individual qualifier 25:09 53 34–64 25:15
52 Lisbon · runner 1individual qualifier 25:15 56 36–64 25:20
53 Bucksport · runner 1individual qualifier 25:16 17 7–33 22:51
54 MSSM · runner 1individual qualifier 25:27 67 48–77 26:44
55 Winthrop · runner 3 25:36 61 43–68 25:51
56 Maine Coast Waldorf · runner 7not in our projection 25:48 –
57 Houlton/GHCA · runner 2individual qualifier 25:58 66 50–71 26:17
58 Washburn · runner 1individual qualifier 26:00 64 37–74 26:10
59 Winthrop · runner 4 26:10 68 58–74 26:52
60 Maranacook · runner 5 26:15 54 34–64 25:17
61 Boothbay/Wiscasset · runner 5 26:20 63 47–70 26:09
62 Waynflete · runner 4 26:23 69 58–74 26:54
63 Orono · runner 4 26:33 52 33–63 25:12
64 Boothbay/Wiscasset · runner 6Beat our range 26:42 75 69–80 28:16
65 Orono · runner 5 26:45 55 35–64 25:18
66 Waynflete · runner 5 27:30 73 66–79 27:48
67 Maranacook · runner 6Beat our range 27:40 80 73–81 28:48
68 Narraguagus · runner 2 27:44 58 39–67 25:40
69 Narraguagus · runner 3 27:46 70 59–75 26:58
70 Narraguagus · runner 4 27:46 59 42–68 25:46
71 Calais · runner 4 27:50 78 71–81 28:31
72 Sumner · runner 1individual qualifier 28:07 65 48–71 26:11
73 Washington Academy · runner 1individual qualifier 28:07 60 42–68 25:47
74 Waynflete · runner 6 28:27 81 74–82 29:05
75 Waynflete · runner 7 29:14 74 67–79 27:56
76 Calais · runner 5 30:40 77 71–81 28:31
77 Winthrop · runner 5 31:01 76 69–80 28:17

"We had" = the place we projected Friday night, among the runners we projected (some of them didn't start: 8 here; 3 finishers weren't in our projection, mostly late entries). "Our range" = where we expected the runner in 8 of 10 simulated races: 62 of 74 finished inside it. "Beat our range" = finished better than the best place we gave. The race ran 7 seconds faster than our projected times; typical runner miss after that 30 seconds. We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete; projections are data only and can be wrong.