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We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete. Predictions are data only and can be wrong.

← State meet, graded · Class B · Girls

Class B Girls: team by team, runner by runner

Every team and every finisher, next to what we showed before the race (frozen Fri Oct 30, 11:30 PM, never changed): projected place and the range we gave, projected time, and where they really finished.

Rightour projected team winner, Freeport (est. 31% to win); Freeport won
3 of 4teams we gave a better-than-even top-3 chance finished top 3
5 of 6runners we gave a better-than-even chance of the top 10 made it
Rightour projected individual winner
Teams10 scored
Finish#TeamPtsWe hadOur rangeOur ptsWin chance est.Top 3 est.
1 Freeport 671 1–484 31%79%
2 Mt. Desert Island 814 1–5101 12%55%
3 Yarmouth 872 1–486 32%80%
4 Cape Elizabeth 1093 1–5101 23%70%
5 Caribou 1356 5–8162 <1%<1%
6 Presque Isle 1445 3–6127 2%14%
7 York 1629 7–11215 <1%<1%
8 Lincoln Academy 1847 5–8167 <1%1%
9 John Bapst 1938 7–11207 <1%<1%
10 Greely 22111 8–11233 <1%<1%
– Watervillefewer than five finishers, no team score –10 7–11217 <1%<1%

10 of 11 teams finished inside the place range we gave (built for 8 in 10); 8 within one place of where we had them. Official MPA team scores: only qualified teams score.

Every finisher · by school and number88 ran

Runners are shown by school and number: runner 1 is that school's first finisher in this race. We don't show names (coach accounts only); places and times are the same for everyone.

Place#RunnerTimeWe hadOur rangeOur time
1 Lincoln Academy · runner 1 18:58 1 1–7 19:06
2 Caribou · runner 1 19:29 2 1–11 19:27
3 Mt. Desert Island · runner 1 19:33 3 2–24 20:23
4 Freeport · runner 1 19:46 6 3–25 20:28
5 Cape Elizabeth · runner 1 19:53 14 5–34 21:01
6 Freeport · runner 2 19:54 11 4–31 20:49
7 Freeport · runner 3 19:57 9 4–30 20:47
8 Mt. Desert Island · runner 2 20:01 7 3–29 20:42
9 Caribou · runner 2 20:06 17 6–35 21:05
10 Yarmouth · runner 1 20:16 5 2–24 20:27
11 Presque Isle · runner 1 20:21 12 4–31 20:50
12 Freeport · runner 4 20:23 13 5–32 20:56
13 Presque Isle · runner 2 20:31 4 2–24 20:24
14 Ellsworth · runner 1individual qualifier 20:44 10 4–31 20:49
15 Yarmouth · runner 2 20:48 8 4–29 20:43
16 Cape Elizabeth · runner 2 20:52 20 6–38 21:18
17 John Bapst · runner 1 20:55 21 7–39 21:18
18 Mt. Desert Island · runner 3 21:04 28 12–47 21:49
19 Morse · runner 1individual qualifier 21:06 16 5–35 21:04
20 Yarmouth · runner 3 21:10 22 8–41 21:22
21 Caribou · runner 3 21:22 33 15–53 22:06
22 York · runner 1 21:33 23 9–43 21:30
23 York · runner 2 21:34 36 19–56 22:18
24 Gray-New Gloucester · runner 1individual qualifier 21:38 25 9–44 21:36
25 Wells · runner 1individual qualifier 21:39 27 12–47 21:47
26 Poland · runner 1individual qualifier 21:44 34 17–54 22:10
27 Yarmouth · runner 4 21:45 41 22–59 22:33
28 Yarmouth · runner 5 21:47 35 17–53 22:11
29 John Bapst · runner 2 21:50 31 15–52 22:04
30 Cape Elizabeth · runner 3 21:52 29 12–48 21:50
31 Mt. Desert Island · runner 4Beat our range 21:59 53 32–70 23:11
32 Mt. Desert Island · runner 5 22:04 37 20–58 22:24
33 York · runner 3 22:06 52 31–68 23:06
34 Presque Isle · runner 3 22:13 24 9–43 21:31
35 Greely · runner 1 22:15 50 30–67 23:01
36 Gray-New Gloucester · runner 2individual qualifier 22:17 30 13–48 21:52
37 Cape Elizabeth · runner 4 22:19 38 22–60 22:31
38 Yarmouth · runner 6 22:20 55 35–72 23:22
39 Cape Elizabeth · runner 5 22:22 43 23–62 22:40
40 Cape Elizabeth · runner 6not in our projection 22:30 –
41 Mt. Desert Island · runner 6 22:30 51 31–68 23:04
42 Nokomis · runner 1individual qualifier 22:34 18 6–37 21:12
43 Presque Isle · runner 4 22:36 42 24–62 22:39
44 Cape Elizabeth · runner 7 22:40 19 7–39 21:17
45 Waterville · runner 1 22:41 26 10–44 21:38
46 Medomak Valley · runner 1individual qualifier 22:44 44 25–62 22:42
47 Freeport · runner 5 22:45 57 36–73 23:26
48 Lincoln Academy · runner 2 22:47 45 25–64 22:46
49 Greely · runner 2 22:54 46 26–63 22:46
50 Cony · runner 1individual qualifier 22:56 40 22–60 22:32
51 Greely · runner 3 23:01 56 36–73 23:23
52 Lincoln Academy · runner 3 23:04 59 38–76 23:33
53 Freeport · runner 6 23:05 63 45–79 23:54
54 John Bapst · runner 3 23:17 49 29–66 22:58
55 Old Town · runner 1individual qualifier 23:28 47 27–64 22:49
56 York · runner 4Beat our range 23:36 81 62–87 24:59
57 Cony · runner 2individual qualifier 23:44 71 53–84 24:24
58 Waterville · runner 2 23:51 64 45–78 23:55
59 Caribou · runner 4 23:57 70 52–83 24:22
60 Freeport · runner 7 23:58 66 47–80 24:05
61 York · runner 5Beat our range 24:00 84 67–89 25:14
62 Lincoln Academy · runner 4 24:00 15 5–35 21:02
63 Mt. Desert Island · runner 7 24:02 48 28–66 22:56
64 Waterville · runner 3 24:07 60 41–77 23:42
65 John Bapst · runner 4 24:10 68 51–82 24:14
66 York · runner 6 24:11 76 55–85 24:32
67 Lincoln Academy · runner 5Beat our range 24:11 88 71–90 25:36
68 Greely · runner 4 24:13 62 44–78 23:52
69 Ellsworth · runner 2individual qualifier 24:15 61 44–79 23:50
70 Lawrence · runner 1individual qualifier 24:17 65 46–79 23:58
71 Gardiner · runner 1individual qualifier 24:31 77 56–85 24:33
72 Presque Isle · runner 5 24:44 73 55–85 24:29
73 Greely · runner 5 24:49 74 55–84 24:29
74 Hermon · runner 1individual qualifier 24:51 69 51–82 24:15
75 Presque Isle · runner 6 25:00 72 54–84 24:26
76 John Bapst · runner 5 25:00 86 69–90 25:27
77 Caribou · runner 5 25:05 78 59–86 24:45
78 York · runner 7 25:05 79 61–87 24:54
79 Greely · runner 6 25:07 75 55–85 24:32
80 Ellsworth · runner 3individual qualifier 25:18 67 49–81 24:08
81 Lincoln Academy · runner 6 25:26 83 63–88 25:03
82 Presque Isle · runner 7not in our projection 25:33 –
83 Lincoln Academy · runner 7not in our projection 25:46 –
84 Greely · runner 7 26:04 89 78–91 26:08
85 Waterville · runner 4 26:19 82 63–88 25:00
86 Caribou · runner 6 26:28 90 83–92 26:34
87 Caribou · runner 7 26:51 87 71–90 25:32
88 John Bapst · runner 6 28:34 91 84–92 26:39

"We had" = the place we projected Friday night, among the runners we projected (some of them didn't start: 7 here; 3 finishers weren't in our projection, mostly late entries). "Our range" = where we expected the runner in 8 of 10 simulated races: 77 of 85 finished inside it. "Beat our range" = finished better than the best place we gave. The race ran 6 seconds faster than our projected times; typical runner miss after that 26 seconds. We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete; projections are data only and can be wrong.