We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete. Predictions are data only and can be wrong.
Gorham Boys
Class A South regional, Twin Brook Recreation Area, Cumberland. SMAA. 7 runners entered to run.
Projection · frozen Fri Oct 23, 11:30 PM, before the race · now graded →Projected finish4 of 17 (113 pts)
Likely finish (8 of 10 races)2–6
State meet linetop 9 teams
Simulated races4,000
Results throughOct 20
Course+3 s vs median
Sat forecast, 10 AM–1 PMnot stored in the freeze
Chance to win est.6%
Top 3 est.40%
To States est.>99%est. >99% before the conference meets
Projected points113
Team strength
Average of the scoring five (projected 5K)17:51
Pack: 1st to 5th runner33 s
Scoring five's projected places18 · 19 · 20 · 21 · 35
6th runner behind the 5th20 s
Against the teams around them
Scarborough (projected 5)+0 s per runner
Last team inside the cut: Massabesic309 pts
Their points vs the last team in-196
"+ s per runner" = how much slower that team's five average (a minus = faster). Fewer points is better.
Gorham runners
Runners are shown by number: runner 1 is the team's first runner in our projection. We don't show names (coach accounts only); times and places are the same for everyone.
| Team # | Runner | Time | Top 30 est. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Runner 1SCORERprojected #18 overall | 17:43 | 72%top 30 |
| 2 | Runner 2SCORERprojected #19 overall | 17:44 | 70%top 30 |
| 3 | Runner 3SCORERprojected #20 overall | 17:44 | 71%top 30 |
| 4 | Runner 4SCORERprojected #21 overall | 17:50 | 64%top 30 |
| 5 | Runner 5SCORERprojected #35 overall | 18:16 | 39%top 30 |
| 6 | Runner 6DISPLACERprojected #44 overall | 18:36 | 23%top 30 |
| 7 | Runner 7DISPLACERprojected #56 overall | 19:05 | 7%top 30 |
Chances, not calls: from 4,000 simulated regionals with the entered runners only. The MPA decides who qualifies. This is the projection we froze before the race. How we got the numbers.