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We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete. Predictions are data only and can be wrong.

← State meet, graded · Class A · Boys

Class A Boys: team by team, runner by runner

Every team and every finisher, next to what we showed before the race (frozen Fri Oct 30, 11:30 PM, never changed): projected place and the range we gave, projected time, and where they really finished.

Missedour projected team winner, Portland (est. 87% to win); Thornton Academy won
2 of 3teams we gave a better-than-even top-3 chance finished top 3
4 of 4runners we gave a better-than-even chance of the top 10 made it
Missedour projected individual winner
Teams15 scored
Finish#TeamPtsWe hadOur rangeOur ptsWin chance est.Top 3 est.
1 Thornton AcademyBeat our range 792 2–7114 5%54%
2 Portland 801 1–240 87%98%
3 Scarborough 1148 3–10188 <1%11%
4 Gorham 1294 3–10174 <1%15%
5 Bonny Eagle 1465 3–10179 1%19%
6 Hampden Academy 1606 3–10181 1%19%
7 Camden Hills 19410 4–11215 <1%7%
8 Mt. Blue 1957 3–10183 <1%13%
9 Falmouth 2223 2–7135 5%54%
10 Messalonskee 2319 4–11191 <1%7%
11 Sanford 25011 7–12244 <1%<1%
12 Oxford Hills 30812 9–14277 <1%<1%
13 South Portland 33113 11–15318 <1%<1%
14 Brunswick 35715 12–15366 <1%<1%
15 Massabesic 36314 13–15348 <1%<1%

13 of 15 teams finished inside the place range we gave (built for 8 in 10); 12 within one place of where we had them. Official MPA team scores: only qualified teams score.

Every finisher · by school and number113 ran

Runners are shown by school and number: runner 1 is that school's first finisher in this race. We don't show names (coach accounts only); places and times are the same for everyone.

Place#RunnerTimeWe hadOur rangeOur time
1 Scarborough · runner 1 16:07 3 1–21 17:02
2 Falmouth · runner 1 16:20 1 1–15 16:47
3 Bangor · runner 1individual qualifier 16:27 2 1–20 16:57
4 Thornton Academy · runner 1 16:39 5 2–33 17:23
5 Mt. Blue · runner 1 16:52 4 2–29 17:16
6 Gorham · runner 1Beat our range 16:53 24 8–56 18:02
7 Thornton Academy · runner 2 16:58 17 6–50 17:50
8 Mt. Blue · runner 2 17:09 6 3–33 17:23
9 Camden Hills · runner 1 17:16 13 4–42 17:39
10 Sanford · runner 1 17:17 15 6–49 17:48
11 Portland · runner 1 17:19 10 4–41 17:38
12 Thornton Academy · runner 3 17:22 22 8–55 17:58
13 Bonny Eagle · runner 1 17:30 25 8–58 18:03
14 Portland · runner 2 17:32 8 3–37 17:31
15 Camden Hills · runner 2 17:32 28 10–60 18:06
16 Hampden Academy · runner 1 17:35 23 9–57 18:01
17 Portland · runner 3 17:36 9 4–40 17:36
18 Portland · runner 4 17:37 7 3–38 17:30
19 Gorham · runner 2 17:37 26 10–60 18:05
20 Bonny Eagle · runner 2 17:41 21 7–52 17:55
21 Hampden Academy · runner 2 17:43 33 13–67 18:17
22 Bonny Eagle · runner 3Beat our range 17:43 63 29–86 18:53
23 Gorham · runner 3 17:45 27 10–59 18:06
24 Scarborough · runner 2not in our projection 17:46 –
25 Portland · runner 5 17:47 30 12–63 18:12
26 Scarborough · runner 3 17:47 31 12–64 18:12
27 Sanford · runner 2 17:53 19 6–52 17:51
28 Portland · runner 6 17:53 11 4–43 17:38
29 Messalonskee · runner 1 17:54 20 7–52 17:55
30 Thornton Academy · runner 4 17:55 47 22–78 18:38
31 Thornton Academy · runner 5 17:56 32 12–65 18:14
32 Falmouth · runner 2 17:59 16 6–49 17:49
33 Scarborough · runner 4 18:00 50 23–81 18:41
34 Scarborough · runner 5not in our projection 18:00 –
35 Marshwood · runner 1individual qualifier 18:06 64 31–86 18:55
36 Massabesic · runner 1 18:07 37 16–72 18:25
37 Brewer · runner 1individual qualifier 18:08 29 10–60 18:07
38 Oxford Hills · runner 1 18:10 42 18–72 18:28
39 Mt. Ararat · runner 1individual qualifier 18:10 38 16–73 18:26
40 Messalonskee · runner 2 18:12 57 26–82 18:46
41 Camden Hills · runner 3 18:12 44 18–74 18:29
42 Gorham · runner 4 18:14 46 20–76 18:33
43 Hampden Academy · runner 3 18:15 48 23–78 18:39
44 Scarborough · runner 6Beat our range 18:16 83 49–97 19:24
45 Hampden Academy · runner 4 18:16 55 25–82 18:45
46 Bonny Eagle · runner 4 18:22 41 17–72 18:27
47 South Portland · runner 1 18:23 52 24–80 18:43
48 Oxford Hills · runner 2 18:24 34 14–67 18:18
49 Hampden Academy · runner 5 18:26 62 30–85 18:53
50 Gorham · runner 5 18:27 65 30–88 18:56
51 Scarborough · runner 7 18:29 40 17–72 18:26
52 Brunswick · runner 1 18:30 60 29–85 18:51
53 Messalonskee · runner 3 18:31 35 15–70 18:22
54 Hampden Academy · runner 6 18:35 68 34–89 19:00
55 Messalonskee · runner 4 18:38 18 6–50 17:51
56 Bonny Eagle · runner 5 18:38 45 19–76 18:33
57 Sanford · runner 3 18:39 69 35–90 19:03
58 Bonny Eagle · runner 6 18:39 67 34–89 18:59
59 Falmouth · runner 3 18:41 12 4–42 17:38
60 Westbrook · runner 1individual qualifier 18:41 51 24–80 18:41
61 Oxford Hills · runner 3 18:45 53 26–82 18:44
62 Mt. Blue · runner 3 18:45 56 25–82 18:45
63 Edward Little · runner 1individual qualifier 18:48 90 59–101 19:42
64 Camden Hills · runner 4 18:49 87 55–100 19:35
65 Skowhegan · runner 1individual qualifier 18:51 59 30–84 18:51
66 Fryeburg Academy · runner 1individual qualifier 18:51 39 17–72 18:26
67 Massabesic · runner 2 18:52 43 18–74 18:29
68 Bangor · runner 2individual qualifier 18:53 70 34–90 19:03
69 South Portland · runner 2 18:54 54 25–81 18:44
70 Hampden Academy · runner 7 18:55 36 16–70 18:24
71 Portland · runner 7not in our projection 18:57 –
72 Mt. Blue · runner 4 18:58 61 29–86 18:52
73 Mt. Blue · runner 5 18:58 77 44–95 19:18
74 Falmouth · runner 4 18:59 71 36–90 19:04
75 Thornton Academy · runner 6 19:04 76 44–95 19:17
76 Messalonskee · runner 5 19:06 78 45–96 19:20
77 Brunswick · runner 2 19:07 82 47–97 19:23
78 Falmouth · runner 5 19:10 81 47–97 19:23
79 Falmouth · runner 6 19:11 72 36–90 19:04
80 South Portland · runner 3 19:12 100 77–107 20:14
81 Gorham · runner 6 19:14 88 55–100 19:35
82 Mt. Blue · runner 6 19:16 84 52–98 19:27
83 Brunswick · runner 3 19:19 66 31–87 18:57
84 South Portland · runner 4 19:20 58 25–83 18:48
85 Sanford · runner 4 19:24 75 42–94 19:14
86 Camden Hills · runner 5 19:24 80 48–97 19:22
87 Camden Hills · runner 6 19:25 79 47–97 19:22
88 Bonny Eagle · runner 7 19:25 85 52–98 19:29
89 Camden Hills · runner 7 19:31 73 37–91 19:07
90 Oxford Hills · runner 4 19:31 74 42–94 19:14
91 South Portland · runner 5 19:37 86 55–100 19:34
92 Brunswick · runner 4 19:50 105 85–108 20:25
93 Brunswick · runner 5 19:52 98 74–106 20:07
94 Massabesic · runner 3 19:57 97 74–105 20:04
95 Sanford · runner 5 19:59 92 64–102 19:48
96 Massabesic · runner 4 20:02 95 73–105 20:02
97 Brunswick · runner 6 20:06 99 77–106 20:10
98 Thornton Academy · runner 7 20:16 91 63–102 19:46
99 Messalonskee · runner 6 20:21 101 80–107 20:16
100 Sanford · runner 6 20:22 96 73–106 20:03
101 Oxford Hills · runner 5 20:24 107 88–108 20:33
102 Sanford · runner 7 20:31 106 87–108 20:31
103 Oxford Hills · runner 6 20:33 102 80–107 20:18
104 Brunswick · runner 7not in our projection 20:35 –
105 Mt. Blue · runner 7 21:15 103 81–107 20:19
106 Messalonskee · runner 7 21:21 94 72–105 20:02
107 Massabesic · runner 5 21:31 109 102–110 21:18
108 Massabesic · runner 6Beat our range 21:42 111 109–112 22:22
109 South Portland · runner 6 22:03 110 106–111 21:46
110 Oxford Hills · runner 7Beat our range 22:07 112 111–112 22:53
111 Falmouth · runner 7not in our projection 22:11 –
112 Massabesic · runner 7Beat our range 22:12 113 113–113 24:10
113 South Portland · runner 7 22:14 108 97–110 21:00

"We had" = the place we projected Friday night, among the runners we projected (some of them didn't start: 5 here; 5 finishers weren't in our projection, mostly late entries). "Our range" = where we expected the runner in 8 of 10 simulated races: 97 of 108 finished inside it. "Beat our range" = finished better than the best place we gave. The race ran 13 seconds faster than our projected times; typical runner miss after that 16 seconds. We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete; projections are data only and can be wrong.