We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete. Predictions are data only and can be wrong.
Yarmouth Boys
Class B South regional, Twin Brook Recreation Area, Cumberland. WMC. 7 runners entered to run.
Projection · frozen Fri Oct 23, 11:30 PM, before the race · now graded →Projected finish1 of 11 (19 pts)
Likely finish (8 of 10 races)1
State meet linetop 6 teams
Simulated races4,000
Results throughOct 20
Course+3 s vs median
Sat forecast, 10 AM–1 PMnot stored in the freeze
Chance to win est.92%
Top 3 est.>99%
To States est.>99%est. >99% before the conference meets
Projected points19
Team strength
Average of the scoring five (projected 5K)17:02
Pack: 1st to 5th runner54 s
Scoring five's projected places1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 9
6th runner behind the 5th10 s
Against the teams around them
Freeport (projected 2)+48 s per runner
Last team inside the cut: Poland201 pts
Their points vs the last team in-182
"+ s per runner" = how much slower that team's five average (a minus = faster). Fewer points is better.
Yarmouth runners
Runners are shown by number: runner 1 is the team's first runner in our projection. We don't show names (coach accounts only); times and places are the same for everyone.
| Team # | Runner | Time | Top 30 est. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Runner 1SCORERprojected #1 overall | 16:38 | >99%top 30 |
| 2 | Runner 2SCORERprojected #2 overall | 16:50 | >99%top 30 |
| 3 | Runner 3SCORERprojected #3 overall | 17:00 | >99%top 30 |
| 4 | Runner 4SCORERprojected #4 overall | 17:09 | 99%top 30 |
| 5 | Runner 5SCORERprojected #9 overall | 17:32 | 96%top 30 |
| 6 | Runner 6DISPLACERprojected #12 overall | 17:42 | 94%top 30 |
| 7 | Runner 7DISPLACERprojected #25 overall | 18:36 | 60%top 30 |
Chances, not calls: from 4,000 simulated regionals with the entered runners only. The MPA decides who qualifies. This is the projection we froze before the race. How we got the numbers.