We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete. Predictions are data only and can be wrong.
Windham Boys
Class A South regional, Twin Brook Recreation Area, Cumberland. SMAA. 7 runners entered to run.
Projection · frozen Fri Oct 23, 11:30 PM, before the race · now graded →Projected finish14 of 17 (359 pts)
Likely finish (8 of 10 races)10–16
State meet linetop 9 teams
Simulated races4,000
Results throughOct 20
Course+3 s vs median
Sat forecast, 10 AM–1 PMnot stored in the freeze
Chance to win est.<1%
Top 3 est.<1%
To States est.4%5% before the conference meets
Projected points359
Team strength
Average of the scoring five (projected 5K)19:54
Pack: 1st to 5th runner234 s
Scoring five's projected places11 · 64 · 87 · 101 · 104
6th runner behind the 5th24 s
Against the teams around them
Cheverus (projected 13)+2 s per runner
Last team inside the cut: Massabesic309 pts
Their points vs the last team in+50
"+ s per runner" = how much slower that team's five average (a minus = faster). Fewer points is better.
Windham runners
Runners are shown by number: runner 1 is the team's first runner in our projection. We don't show names (coach accounts only); times and places are the same for everyone.
| Team # | Runner | Time | Top 30 est. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Runner 1SCORERprojected #11 overall | 17:24 | 83%top 30 |
| 2 | Runner 2SCORERprojected #64 overall | 19:30 | 2%top 30 |
| 3 | Runner 3SCORERprojected #87 overall | 20:14 | <1%top 30 |
| 4 | Runner 4SCORERprojected #101 overall | 21:05 | <1%top 30 |
| 5 | Runner 5SCORERprojected #104 overall | 21:18 | <1%top 30 |
| 6 | Runner 6DISPLACERprojected #107 overall | 21:43 | <1%top 30 |
| 7 | Runner 7DISPLACERprojected #111 overall | 22:19 | <1%top 30 |
Chances, not calls: from 4,000 simulated regionals with the entered runners only. The MPA decides who qualifies. This is the projection we froze before the race. How we got the numbers.