We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete. Predictions are data only and can be wrong.
Monmouth Academy Boys
Class C South regional, Twin Brook Recreation Area, Cumberland. MVC. 5 runners entered to run.
Projection · frozen Fri Oct 23, 11:30 PM, before the race · now graded →Projected finish14 of 14 (404 pts)
Likely finish (8 of 10 races)14
State meet linetop 7 teams
Simulated races4,000
Results throughOct 20
Course+3 s vs median
Sat forecast, 10 AM–1 PMnot stored in the freeze
Chance to win est.<1%
Top 3 est.<1%
To States est.<1%est. <1% before the conference meets
Projected points404
Team strength
Average of the scoring five (projected 5K)29:01
Pack: 1st to 5th runner1276 s
Scoring five's projected places64 · 86 · 100 · 109 · 111
6th runner behind the 5thno 6th runner
Against the teams around them
Hall-Dale (projected 13)-356 s per runner
Last team inside the cut: Waynflete158 pts
Their points vs the last team in+246
"+ s per runner" = how much slower that team's five average (a minus = faster). Fewer points is better.
Monmouth Academy runners
Runners are shown by number: runner 1 is the team's first runner in our projection. We don't show names (coach accounts only); times and places are the same for everyone.
| Team # | Runner | Time | Top 30 est. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Runner 1SCORERprojected #64 overall | 21:24 | <1%top 30 |
| 2 | Runner 2SCORERprojected #86 overall | 23:34 | <1%top 30 |
| 3 | Runner 3Little dataSCORERprojected #100 overall | 26:09 | <1%top 30 |
| 4 | Runner 4SCORERprojected #109 overall | 31:18 | <1%top 30 |
| 5 | Runner 5SCORERprojected #111 overall | 42:41 | <1%top 30 |
Chances, not calls: from 4,000 simulated regionals with the entered runners only. The MPA decides who qualifies. This is the projection we froze before the race. How we got the numbers.