We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete. Predictions are data only and can be wrong.
Traip Academy Boys
Class C South regional, Twin Brook Recreation Area, Cumberland. WMC. 6 runners entered to run.
Projection · frozen Fri Oct 23, 11:30 PM, before the race · now graded →Projected finish11 of 14 (293 pts)
Likely finish (8 of 10 races)11–12
State meet linetop 7 teams
Simulated races4,000
Results throughOct 20
Course+3 s vs median
Sat forecast, 10 AM–1 PMnot stored in the freeze
Chance to win est.<1%
Top 3 est.<1%
To States est.<1%est. <1% before the conference meets
Projected points293
Team strength
Average of the scoring five (projected 5K)22:29
Pack: 1st to 5th runner501 s
Scoring five's projected places21 · 33 · 78 · 95 · 101
6th runner behind the 5th87 s
Against the teams around them
Valley (projected 10)-73 s per runner
Last team inside the cut: Waynflete158 pts
Their points vs the last team in+135
"+ s per runner" = how much slower that team's five average (a minus = faster). Fewer points is better.
Traip Academy runners
Runners are shown by number: runner 1 is the team's first runner in our projection. We don't show names (coach accounts only); times and places are the same for everyone.
| Team # | Runner | Time | Top 30 est. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Runner 1SCORERprojected #21 overall | 18:39 | 83%top 30 |
| 2 | Runner 2SCORERprojected #33 overall | 19:33 | 36%top 30 |
| 3 | Runner 3SCORERprojected #78 overall | 22:12 | <1%top 30 |
| 4 | Runner 4SCORERprojected #95 overall | 25:01 | <1%top 30 |
| 5 | Runner 5SCORERprojected #101 overall | 27:00 | <1%top 30 |
| 6 | Runner 6DISPLACERprojected #104 overall | 28:28 | <1%top 30 |
Chances, not calls: from 4,000 simulated regionals with the entered runners only. The MPA decides who qualifies. This is the projection we froze before the race. How we got the numbers.