We don't show this to promote or demote any athlete. Predictions are data only and can be wrong.
Hall-Dale Boys
Class C South regional, Twin Brook Recreation Area, Cumberland. MVC. 6 runners entered to run.
Projection · frozen Fri Oct 23, 11:30 PM, before the race · now graded →Projected finish13 of 14 (350 pts)
Likely finish (8 of 10 races)12–13
State meet linetop 7 teams
Simulated races4,000
Results throughOct 20
Course+3 s vs median
Sat forecast, 10 AM–1 PMnot stored in the freeze
Chance to win est.<1%
Top 3 est.<1%
To States est.<1%est. <1% before the conference meets
Projected points350
Team strength
Average of the scoring five (projected 5K)23:05
Pack: 1st to 5th runner338 s
Scoring five's projected places37 · 77 · 92 · 93 · 97
6th runner behind the 5th36 s
Against the teams around them
Lisbon (projected 12)-47 s per runner
Last team inside the cut: Waynflete158 pts
Their points vs the last team in+192
"+ s per runner" = how much slower that team's five average (a minus = faster). Fewer points is better.
Hall-Dale runners
Runners are shown by number: runner 1 is the team's first runner in our projection. We don't show names (coach accounts only); times and places are the same for everyone.
| Team # | Runner | Time | Top 30 est. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Runner 1SCORERprojected #37 overall | 19:41 | 28%top 30 |
| 2 | Runner 2SCORERprojected #77 overall | 22:04 | <1%top 30 |
| 3 | Runner 3SCORERprojected #92 overall | 24:10 | <1%top 30 |
| 4 | Runner 4SCORERprojected #93 overall | 24:12 | <1%top 30 |
| 5 | Runner 5Little dataSCORERprojected #97 overall | 25:19 | <1%top 30 |
| 6 | Runner 6DISPLACERprojected #99 overall | 25:55 | <1%top 30 |
Chances, not calls: from 4,000 simulated regionals with the entered runners only. The MPA decides who qualifies. This is the projection we froze before the race. How we got the numbers.