Edward Little football 2026
Class A North
Where Edward Little and its rivals finish
Class A North
4 of 7 make itFull table →1 Oxford HillsCrabtree 136.775 7-1 136.7758 counted · all in Projected #1 · avg. finish 1.0Most likely #1 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Fri 10/30at BangorW 28-0
- Fri 10/23vs NobleW 34-14
- Sat 10/17vs PortlandW 29-0
- Fri 10/9at Bonny EagleL 6-45
- Fri 10/2at LewistonW 35-6
- Fri 9/18vs Edward LittleW 28-7
- Fri 9/11vs DeeringW 42-0
- Fri 9/4at WindhamW 34-14
Regular season done.
Where Oxford Hills can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #1 = its average finish (1.0). Most likely #1 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #1 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
2 PortlandCrabtree 123.232 7-2 123.2329 counted · all in Projected #2 · avg. finish 2.0Most likely #2 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Fri 10/30at South PortlandW 27-7
- Fri 10/23vs DeeringW 33-18
- Sat 10/17at Oxford HillsL 0-29
- Fri 10/9vs BangorW 28-21
- Sat 10/3at ThorntonL 13-43
- Fri 9/25vs Edward LittleW 35-7
- Fri 9/18vs WindhamW 39-13
- Fri 9/11at ScarboroughW 25-0
- Fri 9/4at LewistonW 40-14
Regular season done.
Where Portland can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #2 = its average finish (2.0). Most likely #2 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #2 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
3 WindhamCrabtree 112.719 6-3 112.7199 counted · all in Projected #3 · avg. finish 3.0Most likely #3 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Fri 10/30at DeeringW 19-0
- Fri 10/23at LewistonW 41-6
- Fri 10/16vs FalmouthW 35-21
- Fri 10/9at Edward LittleW 34-9
- Fri 10/2vs Bonny EagleL 6-42
- Fri 9/25at BangorW 21-14
- Fri 9/18at PortlandL 13-39
- Fri 9/11vs SanfordW 28-7
- Fri 9/4vs Oxford HillsL 14-34
Regular season done.
Where Windham can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #3 = its average finish (3.0). Most likely #3 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #3 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
4 BangorCrabtree 96.377 4-4 96.3778 counted · all in Projected #4 · avg. finish 4.0Most likely #4 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Fri 10/30vs Oxford HillsL 0-28
- Fri 10/23at SanfordW 42-14
- Fri 10/16vs Edward LittleW 35-14
- Fri 10/9at PortlandL 21-28
- Fri 9/25vs WindhamL 14-21
- Sat 9/19at DeeringW 32-13
- Fri 9/11at LewistonW 28-0
- Fri 9/4vs MassabesicL 18-22
Regular season done.
Where Bangor can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #4 = its average finish (4.0). Most likely #4 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #4 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
5 Edward LittleCrabtree 89.706 4-4 89.7068 counted · all in Projected #5 · avg. finish 5.0Most likely #5 (>99%) ELIMINATED
- Sat 10/31vs LewistonW 32-14
- Fri 10/23vs Mt. BlueW 35-0
- Fri 10/16at BangorL 14-35
- Fri 10/9vs WindhamL 9-34
- Fri 10/2vs ScarboroughW 27-21
- Fri 9/25at PortlandL 7-35
- Fri 9/18at Oxford HillsL 7-28
- Fri 9/4at DeeringW 46-14
Regular season done.
Where Edward Little can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #5 = its average finish (5.0). Most likely #5 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #5 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
6 DeeringCrabtree 65.165 1-8 65.1659 counted · all in Projected #6 · avg. finish 6.0Most likely #6 (>99%) ELIMINATED
- Fri 10/30vs WindhamL 0-19
- Fri 10/23at PortlandL 18-33
- Fri 10/16vs CheverusL 6-27
- Fri 10/9at WestbrookL 7-14
- Fri 10/2at KennebunkL 6-34
- Fri 9/25vs LewistonW 26-6
- Sat 9/19vs BangorL 13-32
- Fri 9/11at Oxford HillsL 0-42
- Fri 9/4vs Edward LittleL 14-46
Regular season done.
Where Deering can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #6 = its average finish (6.0). Most likely #6 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #6 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
7 LewistonCrabtree 57.353 0-8 57.3538 counted · all in Projected #7 · avg. finish 7.0Most likely #7 (>99%) ELIMINATED
- Sat 10/31at Edward LittleL 14-32
- Fri 10/23vs WindhamL 6-41
- Fri 10/16at MassabesicL 0-41
- Fri 10/2vs Oxford HillsL 6-35
- Fri 9/25at DeeringL 6-26
- Fri 9/18at MessalonskeeL 7-29
- Fri 9/11vs BangorL 0-28
- Fri 9/4vs PortlandL 14-40
Regular season done.
Where Lewiston can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #7 = its average finish (7.0). Most likely #7 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #7 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
Why?
Projected: each team gets its own spot, in order of its average finish across the simulated seasons (avg. finish). Most likely: the single spot it finished in most often. Tap a team for the % at every spot. Estimates, and they can be wrong.
Class A North
4 of 7 make itFull table →1 Oxford Hills 7-1 Likely #1 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Oxford Hills can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
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2 Portland 7-2 Likely #2 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Portland can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
3 Windham 6-3 Likely #3 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Windham can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
4 Bangor 4-4 Likely #4 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Bangor can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
5 Edward Little 4-4 Likely #5 · >99% ELIMINATED
Where Edward Little can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
6 Deering 1-8 Likely #6 · >99% ELIMINATED
Where Deering can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
7 Lewiston 0-8 Likely #7 · >99% ELIMINATED
Where Lewiston can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
Why?
Each cell is how often the team finished in that place in 1,500 played-out seasons: an estimate. Empty cells can't be reached, proven by checking every combination of the remaining results. The outlined cell is where each team stands now.
Want to see how the standings could change? Open the what-if simulator →
Playoff picture · Class A North, top 4 qualify · all divisions →
Edward Little can no longer reach the top 4. Every result still counts toward other teams' Crabtree numbers.
Why?
"Clinched" and "eliminated" are exact: they hold for every possible combination of remaining results. The highest and lowest places are exact: some combination of results reaches each of them, and none goes past them. Seeds use the same Crabtree method as the standings. Nothing here is a prediction.
How this is figured Crabtree step by step · tiebreakers · power rating
Crabtree index today: 89.706 (the MPA's playoff number, recomputed).
Crabtree, shown step by step
| Opponent played | Their W-L | Counts? |
|---|---|---|
| Deering | 1-8 | yes |
| Oxford Hills | 7-1 | yes |
| Portland | 7-2 | yes |
| Scarborough | 0-9 | yes |
| Windham | 6-3 | yes |
| Bangor | 4-4 | yes |
| Mt. Blue | 2-6 | yes |
| Lewiston | 0-8 | yes |
Own win% = 4 / 8 = 0.5000
Opponents pooled = 27 wins / 68 games = 0.3971
Crabtree = (0.5000 + 0.3971) × 100 = 89.706
Heal tiebreaker: preliminary index 19.750, tournament index 19.9306 over 8 scheduled games.
Our power rating
Rated #25 of Maine's 55 11-man teams. After 8 games the data can't yet tell Edward Little apart from an average team.
1.2 points vs. an average Maine team (80% band -6.9 to 9.3) · rank #25 among 11-man teams · est. <1% chance of being the top-rated team in Class A North, est. <1% in all of 11-man
8 games of evidence; 11% of today's number is still the starting assumption (average A team); from Week 7 on last season doesn't count at all. A band that touches 0 means the data can't yet separate this team from average. How the rating works →
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Quick answers
Can Edward Little still make the playoffs?
No. Edward Little is eliminated: no combination of the games left puts it in the Class A North top 4.
When is Edward Little's next game?
Edward Little's regular season is over (4-4). Playoff dates and sites come from the MPA; our bracket page adds them as they're posted.
More Edward Little: Basketball · All Edward Little sports