Brewer football 2026
Class C
Where Brewer and its rivals finish
Class C
8 of 12 make itFull table →1 LeavittCrabtree 153.750 9-0 153.7509 counted · all in Projected #1 · avg. finish 1.0Most likely #1 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Fri 10/30vs FoxcroftW 14-0
- Fri 10/23at HermonW 14-10
- Thu 10/15vs NokomisW 36-12
- Fri 10/9at GardinerW 48-7
- Fri 10/2at DirigoW 42-0
- Sat 9/26vs WellsW 42-0
- Fri 9/18at YorkW 51-0
- Thu 9/10at GreelyW 30-12
- Fri 9/4vs Medomak ValleyW 39-8
Regular season done.
Where Leavitt can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #1 = its average finish (1.0). Most likely #1 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #1 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
2 GreelyCrabtree 142.639 8-1 142.6399 counted · all in Projected #2 · avg. finish 2.0Most likely #2 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Fri 10/30at GardinerW 15-12
- Fri 10/23at FalmouthW 21-20
- Fri 10/16vs HermonW 28-14
- Fri 10/9vs OceansideW 35-8
- Sat 10/3at Medomak ValleyW 34-6
- Fri 9/25vs NokomisW 35-7
- Fri 9/18at WellsW 34-14
- Thu 9/10vs LeavittL 12-30
- Fri 9/4vs YorkW 48-0
Regular season done.
Where Greely can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #2 = its average finish (2.0). Most likely #2 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #2 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
3 HermonCrabtree 127.160 7-2 127.1609 counted · all in Projected #3 · avg. finish 3.0Most likely #3 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Fri 10/30at YorkW 49-0
- Fri 10/23vs LeavittL 10-14
- Fri 10/16at GreelyL 14-28
- Thu 10/8vs BrewerW 62-14
- Fri 10/2at OceansideW 37-6
- Fri 9/25vs Medomak ValleyW 51-6
- Fri 9/18at HampdenW 56-0
- Sat 9/12at NokomisW 28-6
- Fri 9/4vs FoxcroftW 24-0
Regular season done.
Where Hermon can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #3 = its average finish (3.0). Most likely #3 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #3 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
4 FoxcroftCrabtree 122.082 7-2 122.0829 counted · all in Projected #4 · avg. finish 4.0Most likely #4 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Fri 10/30at LeavittL 0-14
- Fri 10/23at BrewerW 51-8
- Thu 10/15vs HampdenW 66-6
- Sat 10/10at NokomisW 23-7
- Fri 10/2vs John BapstW 45-14
- Fri 9/25at MadisonW 41-7
- Fri 9/18vs GardinerW 28-0
- Fri 9/11vs OceansideW 28-12
- Fri 9/4at HermonL 0-24
Regular season done.
Where Foxcroft can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #4 = its average finish (4.0). Most likely #4 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #4 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
5 WellsCrabtree 121.097 6-3 121.0979 counted · all in Projected #5 · avg. finish 5.0Most likely #5 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Fri 10/30vs HampdenW 55-0
- Sat 10/24at NokomisL 13-14
- Sat 10/17at YorkW 47-0
- Thu 10/8vs FreeportW 28-24
- Fri 10/2vs GardinerW 47-31
- Sat 9/26at LeavittL 0-42
- Fri 9/18vs GreelyL 14-34
- Fri 9/11at Medomak ValleyW 21-8
- Fri 9/4vs WinslowW 14-13
Regular season done.
Where Wells can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #5 = its average finish (5.0). Most likely #5 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #5 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
6 NokomisCrabtree 101.235 4-5 101.2359 counted · all in Projected #6 · avg. finish 6.0Most likely #6 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Fri 10/30at OceansideW 34-22
- Sat 10/24vs WellsW 14-13
- Thu 10/15at LeavittL 12-36
- Sat 10/10vs FoxcroftL 7-23
- Sat 10/3vs HampdenW 52-0
- Fri 9/25at GreelyL 7-35
- Sat 9/19vs BrewerW 42-8
- Sat 9/12vs HermonL 6-28
- Fri 9/4at GardinerL 6-37
Regular season done.
Where Nokomis can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #6 = its average finish (6.0). Most likely #6 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #6 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
7 OceansideCrabtree 99.306 5-4 99.3069 counted · all in Projected #7 · avg. finish 7.0Most likely #7 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Fri 10/30vs NokomisL 22-34
- Fri 10/23at Medomak ValleyW 36-14
- Thu 10/15vs BrewerW 14-0
- Fri 10/9at GreelyL 8-35
- Fri 10/2vs HermonL 6-37
- Fri 9/25vs YorkW 14-12
- Fri 9/18at BelfastW 44-6
- Fri 9/11at FoxcroftL 12-28
- Fri 9/4vs HampdenW 50-12
Regular season done.
Where Oceanside can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #7 = its average finish (7.0). Most likely #7 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #7 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
8 GardinerCrabtree 93.333 3-6 93.3339 counted · all in Projected #8 · avg. finish 8.0Most likely #8 (>99%) CLINCHED
- Fri 10/30vs GreelyL 12-15
- Fri 10/23vs ConyL 14-49
- Sat 10/17at Medomak ValleyL 14-20
- Fri 10/9vs LeavittL 7-48
- Fri 10/2at WellsL 31-47
- Fri 9/25vs BrewerW 42-20
- Fri 9/18at FoxcroftL 0-28
- Fri 9/11at YorkW 28-0
- Fri 9/4vs NokomisW 37-6
Regular season done.
Where Gardiner can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #8 = its average finish (8.0). Most likely #8 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #8 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
9 Medomak ValleyTBCrabtree 83.333 3-6 83.3339 counted · all in Projected #9 · avg. finish 9.0Most likely #9 (>99%) ELIMINATED
- Fri 10/30at BrewerW 49-18
- Fri 10/23vs OceansideL 14-36
- Sat 10/17vs GardinerW 20-14
- Fri 10/9at HampdenW 46-6
- Sat 10/3vs GreelyL 6-34
- Fri 9/25at HermonL 6-51
- Fri 9/18at Camden HillsL 0-21
- Fri 9/11vs WellsL 8-21
- Fri 9/4at LeavittL 8-39
Regular season done.
Where Medomak Valley can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #9 = its average finish (9.0). Most likely #9 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #9 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
10 YorkTBCrabtree 83.333 3-6 83.3339 counted · all in Projected #10 · avg. finish 10.0Most likely #10 (>99%) ELIMINATED
- Fri 10/30vs HermonL 0-49
- Sat 10/24at HampdenW 27-7
- Sat 10/17vs WellsL 0-47
- Fri 10/9vs Oak HillW 40-28
- Fri 10/2at BrewerW 12-7
- Fri 9/25at OceansideL 12-14
- Fri 9/18vs LeavittL 0-51
- Fri 9/11vs GardinerL 0-28
- Fri 9/4at GreelyL 0-48
Regular season done.
Where York can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #10 = its average finish (10.0). Most likely #10 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #10 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
11 BrewerCrabtree 53.611 1-8 53.6119 counted · all in Projected #11 · avg. finish 11.0Most likely #11 (>99%) ELIMINATED
- Fri 10/30vs Medomak ValleyL 18-49
- Fri 10/23vs FoxcroftL 8-51
- Thu 10/15at OceansideL 0-14
- Thu 10/8at HermonL 14-62
- Fri 10/2vs YorkL 7-12
- Fri 9/25at GardinerL 20-42
- Sat 9/19at NokomisL 8-42
- Fri 9/11vs HampdenW 40-26
- Fri 9/4at BelfastL 26-28
Regular season done.
Where Brewer can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #11 = its average finish (11.0). Most likely #11 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #11 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
12 HampdenCrabtree 52.500 0-9 52.5009 counted · all in Projected #12 · avg. finish 12.0Most likely #12 (>99%) ELIMINATED
- Fri 10/30at WellsL 0-55
- Sat 10/24vs YorkL 7-27
- Thu 10/15at FoxcroftL 6-66
- Fri 10/9vs Medomak ValleyL 6-46
- Sat 10/3at NokomisL 0-52
- Fri 9/25vs MCIL 13-28
- Fri 9/18vs HermonL 0-56
- Fri 9/11at BrewerL 26-40
- Fri 9/4at OceansideL 12-50
Regular season done.
Where Hampden can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Projected #12 = its average finish (12.0). Most likely #12 = the single most common spot (>99%). Finishes #12 in almost every simulated season.
Tap any % for the math.
Why?
Projected: each team gets its own spot, in order of its average finish across the simulated seasons (avg. finish). Most likely: the single spot it finished in most often. Tap a team for the % at every spot. Estimates, and they can be wrong.
Class C
8 of 12 make itFull table →1 Leavitt 9-0 Likely #1 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Leavitt can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
2 Greely 8-1 Likely #2 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Greely can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
3 Hermon 7-2 Likely #3 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Hermon can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
4 Foxcroft 7-2 Likely #4 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Foxcroft can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
5 Wells 6-3 Likely #5 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Wells can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
6 Nokomis 4-5 Likely #6 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Nokomis can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
7 Oceanside 5-4 Likely #7 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Oceanside can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
8 Gardiner 3-6 Likely #8 · >99% CLINCHED
Where Gardiner can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
9 Medomak ValleyTB 3-6 Likely #9 · >99% ELIMINATED
Where Medomak Valley can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
10 YorkTB 3-6 Likely #10 · >99% ELIMINATED
Where York can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
11 Brewer 1-8 Likely #11 · >99% ELIMINATED
Where Brewer can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
12 Hampden 0-9 Likely #12 · >99% ELIMINATED
Where Hampden can finish · % from the simulated seasons · "–" can't happen (proven)
Tap any % for the math.
Why?
Each cell is how often the team finished in that place in 1,500 played-out seasons: an estimate. Empty cells can't be reached, proven by checking every combination of the remaining results. The outlined cell is where each team stands now.
Want to see how the standings could change? Open the what-if simulator →
Playoff picture · Class C, top 8 qualify · all divisions →
Brewer can no longer reach the top 8. Every result still counts toward other teams' Crabtree numbers.
Why?
"Clinched" and "eliminated" are exact: they hold for every possible combination of remaining results. The highest and lowest places are exact: some combination of results reaches each of them, and none goes past them. Seeds use the same Crabtree method as the standings. Nothing here is a prediction.
How this is figured Crabtree step by step · tiebreakers · power rating
Crabtree index today: 53.611 (the MPA's playoff number, recomputed).
Crabtree, shown step by step
| Opponent played | Their W-L | Counts? |
|---|---|---|
| Belfast | 2-6 | yes |
| Hampden | 0-9 | yes |
| Nokomis | 4-5 | yes |
| Gardiner | 3-6 | yes |
| York | 3-6 | yes |
| Hermon | 7-2 | yes |
| Oceanside | 5-4 | yes |
| Foxcroft | 7-2 | yes |
| Medomak Valley | 3-6 | yes |
Own win% = 1 / 9 = 0.1111
Opponents pooled = 34 wins / 80 games = 0.4250
Crabtree = (0.1111 + 0.4250) × 100 = 53.611
Heal tiebreaker: preliminary index 4.000, tournament index 1.1111 over 9 scheduled games.
Our power rating
Rated #50 of Maine's 55 11-man teams, est. 23.9 points below an average team.
-23.9 points vs. an average Maine team (80% band -32.3 to -15.5) · rank #50 among 11-man teams · est. <1% chance of being the top-rated team in Class C, est. <1% in all of 11-man
9 games of evidence; 10% of today's number is still the starting assumption (average C team); from Week 7 on last season doesn't count at all. A band that touches 0 means the data can't yet separate this team from average. How the rating works →
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Quick answers
Can Brewer still make the playoffs?
No. Brewer is eliminated: no combination of the games left puts it in the Class C top 8.
When is Brewer's next game?
Brewer's regular season is over (1-8). Playoff dates and sites come from the MPA; our bracket page adds them as they're posted.
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