Our pick: Bills
BUF at home (+6); BUF has the QB edge (+5); BUF is the better team (+5)
20–30Projected score, Patriots – Bills (est.)
10.0Bills by, in points (est.)
Saved before kickoff, graded after the final. It never changes after kickoff.
What you should know
Drake Maye vs Josh AllenStarting quarterbacks, Patriots vs Bills
key starter out, not on the injury reportNE · Greg Van Roten
News the model counted before kickoff (roster and schedule facts only).
Quick answers
Who won New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills?
The New England Patriots beat the Buffalo Bills 29-26 in Week 4.
Who do we pick to win New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills?
The Buffalo Bills, est. 78% to win. The pick is saved before kickoff and never changed.
Was our pick right?
No. We picked the Buffalo Bills; the final was New England Patriots 29, Buffalo Bills 26.
Win chanceest.Powered by niftiIQ
22%
Patriots
78%
Bills
How the number moved
41 runs before kickoff; shown: the first, every one that moved the number or the pick, and the pick of record.
| Run | Bills win, est. | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Sat 3:02 PM ET | 65% | BUF |
| Mon 12:02 AM ET | 72% | BUF |
| Tue 12:02 AM ET | 73% | BUF |
| Tue 7:01 PM ET | 75% | BUF |
| Thu 11:02 AM ET | 76% | BUF |
| Fri 3:03 PM ET | 78% | BUF |
| Sun 11:48 AM ET pick of record | 78% | BUF |
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