East
1PHI76ers7–1.875est. 86%
2DETPistons6–1.857est. >99%
3BOSCeltics5–2.714est. >99%
4CLECavaliers tied4–3.571est. 91%
4TORRaptors tied4–3.571est. 98%
6ATLHawks5–4.556est. 86%
top 6: playoffs
7WASWizards4–4.500est. 3%
8NYKKnicks3–4.429est. 95%
9CHAHornets3–5.375est. 30%
10MIAHeat tied at the cut2–5.286est. 29%
10ORLMagic tied at the cut2–5.286est. 64%
7–10: play-in · tie at 10: NBA tiebreakers decide
12INDPacers2–6.250est. 17%
13BKNNets tied1–6.143est. 1%
13CHIBulls tied1–6.143est. <1%
13MILBucks tied1–6.143est. 1%
West
1HOURockets7–1.875est. >99%
2MEMGrizzlies6–1.857est. 27%
3PORTrail Blazers5–1.833est. 85%
4LALLakers6–2.750est. 64%
5OKCThunder tied5–2.714est. >99%
5SASSpurs tied5–2.714est. >99%
top 6: playoffs
7GSWWarriors tied5–3.625est. 63%
7MINTimberwolves tied5–3.625est. 59%
9DALMavericks4–3.571est. 49%
10DENNuggets3–3.500est. 96%
7–10: play-in
11NOPPelicans3–4.429est. <1%
12PHXSuns1–4.200est. 52%
13LACClippers tied1–6.143est. 3%
13SACKings tied1–6.143est. <1%
13UTAJazz tied1–6.143est. 2%
Ordered by win %; teams with the same record are marked tied (the NBA's tiebreakers decide those, so no seed is claimed). Lines after #6 and #10: seeds 1-6 go straight to the playoffs, 7-10 play the play-in, where the season ended today; when a tie sits on a cut, the cut moves under the whole tie and the NBA's tiebreakers decide who's in. Playoffs = est. chance of a top-6 seed or a spot through the play-in, from 5,000 simulated seasons. Tags appear only when proven.
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