Week 7 recap
Written by our system from the week's results. No human edited it. Oct 18.
39 games in Week 7. Our picks went 29–5.
Our biggest miss: Biddeford over Marshwood 37–14; we had Marshwood at est. 84%. Our next two: Boothbay over Telstar 28–20, we had Telstar at est. 74%, and Medomak Valley over Gardiner 20–14, we had Gardiner at est. 70%.
Seeds that moved: In Class C, Wells climbed from #5 to #3. In Class C, Hermon dropped from #2 to #4. In 8-Man Large South, Gray-NG rose from #4 to #3. In 8-Man Large South, Spruce Mountain fell from #3 to #4.
Seven teams remain undefeated through Friday and Saturday's games: Yarmouth, Stearns, OOB, Bonny Eagle, Thornton, Lawrence, and Leavitt. Fryeburg won the closest contest, 14–13 over Mt. Blue. Thornton shut out Sanford 61–0, and Foxcroft topped Hampden 66–6. The week included several large margins across all divisions, with Yarmouth's 78–14 win over Orono the most lopsided result.
The fact sheet this was written from
{
"biggest_margins": [
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "8S-North",
"division_winner": "8L-South",
"home": "Yarmouth",
"loser": "Orono",
"margin": 64,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.97,
"score": "78-14",
"winner": "Yarmouth"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "A-South",
"division_winner": "A-South",
"home": "Thornton",
"loser": "Sanford",
"margin": 61,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 1.0,
"score": "61-0",
"winner": "Thornton"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-15",
"division_loser": "C",
"division_winner": "C",
"home": "Foxcroft",
"loser": "Hampden",
"margin": 60,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 1.0,
"score": "66-6",
"winner": "Foxcroft"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "8S-South",
"division_winner": "8L-South",
"home": "Spruce Mountain",
"loser": "Traip",
"margin": 60,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.99,
"score": "60-0",
"winner": "Spruce Mountain"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-17",
"division_loser": "8L-North",
"division_winner": "8L-North",
"home": "MDI",
"loser": "Houlton",
"margin": 52,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.93,
"score": "58-6",
"winner": "MDI"
}
],
"closest": [
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "B-North",
"division_winner": "B-North",
"home": "Mt. Blue",
"loser": "Mt. Blue",
"margin": 1,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.6,
"score": "14-13",
"winner": "Fryeburg"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "B-South",
"division_winner": "B-South",
"home": "Kennebunk",
"loser": "Westbrook",
"margin": 6,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.78,
"score": "20-14",
"winner": "Kennebunk"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "8S-North",
"division_winner": "8S-North",
"home": "Washington Academy",
"loser": "Bucksport",
"margin": 6,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.75,
"score": "20-14",
"winner": "Washington Academy"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "D-South",
"division_winner": "D-North",
"home": "Madison",
"loser": "Poland",
"margin": 6,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.65,
"score": "34-28",
"winner": "Madison"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-17",
"division_loser": "C",
"division_winner": "C",
"home": "Medomak Valley",
"loser": "Gardiner",
"margin": 6,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.3,
"score": "20-14",
"winner": "Medomak Valley"
}
],
"complete": true,
"days_covered": "Thursday, Friday and Saturday",
"division_leaders": {
"8-Man Large North": [
{
"crabtree": 120.408,
"record": "6-1",
"team": "Old Town"
},
{
"crabtree": 102.976,
"record": "4-3",
"team": "Ellsworth"
},
{
"crabtree": 100.893,
"record": "4-3",
"team": "MDI"
}
],
"8-Man Large South": [
{
"crabtree": 144.898,
"record": "7-0",
"team": "Yarmouth"
},
{
"crabtree": 118.237,
"record": "5-2",
"team": "Cape Elizabeth"
},
{
"crabtree": 113.333,
"record": "5-1",
"team": "Gray-NG"
}
],
"8-Man Small North": [
{
"crabtree": 136.957,
"record": "7-0",
"team": "Stearns"
},
{
"crabtree": 119.453,
"record": "3-4",
"team": "Orono"
},
{
"crabtree": 112.821,
"record": "4-2",
"team": "Washington Academy"
}
],
"8-Man Small South": [
{
"crabtree": 146.809,
"record": "7-0",
"team": "OOB"
},
{
"crabtree": 111.667,
"record": "4-2",
"team": "Boothbay"
},
{
"crabtree": 100.304,
"record": "3-4",
"team": "Telstar"
}
],
"Class A North": [
{
"crabtree": 130.833,
"record": "5-1",
"team": "Oxford Hills"
},
{
"crabtree": 118.095,
"record": "5-2",
"team": "Portland"
},
{
"crabtree": 113.665,
"record": "4-3",
"team": "Windham"
}
],
"Class A South": [
{
"crabtree": 151.22,
"record": "7-0",
"team": "Bonny Eagle"
},
{
"crabtree": 135.714,
"record": "7-0",
"team": "Thornton"
},
{
"crabtree": 122.492,
"record": "5-2",
"team": "Massabesic"
}
],
"Class B North": [
{
"crabtree": 140.816,
"record": "7-0",
"team": "Lawrence"
},
{
"crabtree": 132.653,
"record": "6-1",
"team": "Cony"
},
{
"crabtree": 124.49,
"record": "5-2",
"team": "Skowhegan"
}
],
"Class B South": [
{
"crabtree": 122.449,
"record": "6-1",
"team": "Kennebunk"
},
{
"crabtree": 122.449,
"record": "6-1",
"team": "Marshwood"
},
{
"crabtree": 118.367,
"record": "5-2",
"team": "Biddeford"
}
],
"Class C": [
{
"crabtree": 144.898,
"record": "7-0",
"team": "Leavitt"
},
{
"crabtree": 142.857,
"record": "6-1",
"team": "Greely"
},
{
"crabtree": 134.694,
"record": "5-2",
"team": "Wells"
}
],
"Class D North": [
{
"crabtree": 138.776,
"record": "6-1",
"team": "Winslow"
},
{
"crabtree": 100.0,
"record": "5-2",
"team": "MCI"
},
{
"crabtree": 97.959,
"record": "4-3",
"team": "John Bapst"
}
],
"Class D South": [
{
"crabtree": 124.49,
"record": "5-2",
"team": "Freeport"
},
{
"crabtree": 120.408,
"record": "6-1",
"team": "Winthrop"
},
{
"crabtree": 108.163,
"record": "4-3",
"team": "Morse"
}
]
},
"games_played": 39,
"generated_at": "2026-10-18T13:20:26",
"next_week_sample": [
{
"away": "Camden Hills",
"date": "2026-10-23",
"home": "Brunswick"
},
{
"away": "Cheverus",
"date": "2026-10-23",
"home": "Biddeford"
},
{
"away": "Foxcroft",
"date": "2026-10-23",
"home": "Brewer"
},
{
"away": "Lisbon",
"date": "2026-10-23",
"home": "Freeport"
},
{
"away": "Kennebunk",
"date": "2026-10-23",
"home": "Marshwood"
},
{
"away": "Deering",
"date": "2026-10-23",
"home": "Portland"
},
{
"away": "Spruce Mountain",
"date": "2026-10-23",
"home": "Maranacook"
},
{
"away": "Skowhegan",
"date": "2026-10-23",
"home": "Fryeburg"
},
{
"away": "Greely",
"date": "2026-10-23",
"home": "Falmouth"
},
{
"away": "Massabesic",
"date": "2026-10-23",
"home": "Scarborough"
},
{
"away": "Mountain Valley",
"date": "2026-10-23",
"home": "Poland"
},
{
"away": "Mt. Blue",
"date": "2026-10-23",
"home": "Edward Little"
}
],
"our_misses": [
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"loser": "Marshwood",
"our_pct_loser": "84",
"score": "37\u201314",
"winner": "Biddeford"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-17",
"loser": "Telstar",
"our_pct_loser": "74",
"score": "28\u201320",
"winner": "Boothbay"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-17",
"loser": "Gardiner",
"our_pct_loser": "70",
"score": "20\u201314",
"winner": "Medomak Valley"
}
],
"our_picks": {
"l": 5,
"w": 29
},
"results": [
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "8S-North",
"division_winner": "8L-South",
"home": "Yarmouth",
"loser": "Orono",
"margin": 64,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.97,
"score": "78-14",
"winner": "Yarmouth"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "A-South",
"division_winner": "A-South",
"home": "Thornton",
"loser": "Sanford",
"margin": 61,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 1.0,
"score": "61-0",
"winner": "Thornton"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-15",
"division_loser": "C",
"division_winner": "C",
"home": "Foxcroft",
"loser": "Hampden",
"margin": 60,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 1.0,
"score": "66-6",
"winner": "Foxcroft"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "8S-South",
"division_winner": "8L-South",
"home": "Spruce Mountain",
"loser": "Traip",
"margin": 60,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.99,
"score": "60-0",
"winner": "Spruce Mountain"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-17",
"division_loser": "8L-North",
"division_winner": "8L-North",
"home": "MDI",
"loser": "Houlton",
"margin": 52,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.93,
"score": "58-6",
"winner": "MDI"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "B-North",
"division_winner": "B-North",
"home": "Cony",
"loser": "Brunswick",
"margin": 48,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.97,
"score": "55-7",
"winner": "Cony"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "8L-North",
"division_winner": "8L-North",
"home": "Old Town",
"loser": "Waterville",
"margin": 48,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 1.0,
"score": "48-0",
"winner": "Old Town"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-17",
"division_loser": "8S-South",
"division_winner": "8S-South",
"home": "Mount View",
"loser": "Mount View",
"margin": 48,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.73,
"score": "62-14",
"winner": "Sacopee Valley"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-17",
"division_loser": "8S-South",
"division_winner": "8S-South",
"home": "OOB",
"loser": "Maranacook",
"margin": 48,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.9,
"score": "60-12",
"winner": "OOB"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-17",
"division_loser": "C",
"division_winner": "C",
"home": "York",
"loser": "York",
"margin": 47,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.82,
"score": "47-0",
"winner": "Wells"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "8L-North",
"division_winner": "8S-North",
"home": "Stearns",
"loser": "Ellsworth",
"margin": 42,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.86,
"score": "42-0",
"winner": "Stearns"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "A-North",
"division_winner": "A-South",
"home": "Massabesic",
"loser": "Lewiston",
"margin": 41,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.99,
"score": "41-0",
"winner": "Massabesic"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "D-North",
"division_winner": "D-South",
"home": "Lisbon",
"loser": "Oak Hill",
"margin": 33,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.9,
"score": "47-14",
"winner": "Lisbon"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "B-North",
"division_winner": "B-North",
"home": "Skowhegan",
"loser": "Messalonskee",
"margin": 32,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.78,
"score": "40-8",
"winner": "Skowhegan"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-17",
"division_loser": "A-North",
"division_winner": "A-North",
"home": "Oxford Hills",
"loser": "Portland",
"margin": 29,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.53,
"score": "29-0",
"winner": "Oxford Hills"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "D-South",
"division_winner": "D-South",
"home": "Dirigo",
"loser": "Dirigo",
"margin": 28,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.8,
"score": "42-14",
"winner": "Freeport"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-17",
"division_loser": "B-North",
"division_winner": "B-North",
"home": "Camden Hills",
"loser": "Camden Hills",
"margin": 27,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.98,
"score": "41-14",
"winner": "Lawrence"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-15",
"division_loser": "C",
"division_winner": "C",
"home": "Leavitt",
"loser": "Nokomis",
"margin": 24,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.99,
"score": "36-12",
"winner": "Leavitt"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-17",
"division_loser": "D-South",
"division_winner": "D-North",
"home": "Winslow",
"loser": "Morse",
"margin": 24,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.82,
"score": "30-6",
"winner": "Winslow"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "B-South",
"division_winner": "B-South",
"home": "Marshwood",
"loser": "Marshwood",
"margin": 23,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.15,
"score": "37-14",
"winner": "Biddeford"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-15",
"division_loser": "D-South",
"division_winner": "D-South",
"home": "Mountain Valley",
"loser": "Mountain Valley",
"margin": 22,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.96,
"score": "29-7",
"winner": "Winthrop"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-15",
"division_loser": null,
"division_winner": "A-South",
"home": "Bonny Eagle",
"loser": "Exeter (NH)",
"margin": 21,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.99,
"score": "35-14",
"winner": "Bonny Eagle"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "A-North",
"division_winner": "B-South",
"home": "Deering",
"loser": "Deering",
"margin": 21,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.71,
"score": "27-6",
"winner": "Cheverus"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "A-North",
"division_winner": "A-North",
"home": "Bangor",
"loser": "Edward Little",
"margin": 21,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.81,
"score": "35-14",
"winner": "Bangor"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "8L-South",
"division_winner": "8L-South",
"home": "Gray-NG",
"loser": "Mt. Ararat",
"margin": 19,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.92,
"score": "25-6",
"winner": "Gray-NG"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "D-North",
"division_winner": "D-North",
"home": "Mattanawcook",
"loser": "Mattanawcook",
"margin": 18,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.66,
"score": "44-26",
"winner": "John Bapst"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "D-North",
"division_winner": "D-North",
"home": "Belfast",
"loser": "Belfast",
"margin": 17,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.8,
"score": "17-0",
"winner": "MCI"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-15",
"division_loser": "C",
"division_winner": "C",
"home": "Oceanside",
"loser": "Brewer",
"margin": 14,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.88,
"score": "14-0",
"winner": "Oceanside"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "B-South",
"division_winner": "A-North",
"home": "Windham",
"loser": "Falmouth",
"margin": 14,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.6,
"score": "35-21",
"winner": "Windham"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "C",
"division_winner": "C",
"home": "Greely",
"loser": "Hermon",
"margin": 14,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.53,
"score": "28-14",
"winner": "Greely"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "A-South",
"division_winner": "A-South",
"home": "Noble",
"loser": "South Portland",
"margin": 14,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.44,
"score": "21-7",
"winner": "Noble"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "8L-South",
"division_winner": "8L-South",
"home": "Cape Elizabeth",
"loser": "Lake Region",
"margin": 10,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.79,
"score": "18-8",
"winner": "Cape Elizabeth"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-17",
"division_loser": "8S-South",
"division_winner": "8S-South",
"home": "Telstar",
"loser": "Telstar",
"margin": 8,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.25,
"score": "28-20",
"winner": "Boothbay"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-17",
"division_loser": "A-South",
"division_winner": "B-South",
"home": "Gorham",
"loser": "Scarborough",
"margin": 7,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.41,
"score": "28-21",
"winner": "Gorham"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "B-South",
"division_winner": "B-South",
"home": "Kennebunk",
"loser": "Westbrook",
"margin": 6,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.78,
"score": "20-14",
"winner": "Kennebunk"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "8S-North",
"division_winner": "8S-North",
"home": "Washington Academy",
"loser": "Bucksport",
"margin": 6,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.75,
"score": "20-14",
"winner": "Washington Academy"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "D-South",
"division_winner": "D-North",
"home": "Madison",
"loser": "Poland",
"margin": 6,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.65,
"score": "34-28",
"winner": "Madison"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-17",
"division_loser": "C",
"division_winner": "C",
"home": "Medomak Valley",
"loser": "Gardiner",
"margin": 6,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.3,
"score": "20-14",
"winner": "Medomak Valley"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "B-North",
"division_winner": "B-North",
"home": "Mt. Blue",
"loser": "Mt. Blue",
"margin": 1,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.6,
"score": "14-13",
"winner": "Fryeburg"
}
],
"season": 2026,
"seeds_moved": [
{
"division": "Class C",
"from": 5,
"team": "Wells",
"to": 3
},
{
"division": "Class C",
"from": 2,
"team": "Hermon",
"to": 4
},
{
"division": "8-Man Large South",
"from": 4,
"team": "Gray-NG",
"to": 3
},
{
"division": "8-Man Large South",
"from": 3,
"team": "Spruce Mountain",
"to": 4
}
],
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{
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},
{
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}
],
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"undefeated": [
{
"division": "8-Man Large South",
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"team": "Yarmouth"
},
{
"division": "8-Man Small North",
"record": "7-0",
"team": "Stearns"
},
{
"division": "8-Man Small South",
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"team": "OOB"
},
{
"division": "Class A South",
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},
{
"division": "Class A South",
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},
{
"division": "Class B North",
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"team": "Lawrence"
},
{
"division": "Class C",
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}
],
"unreported_games": [],
"upsets_by_our_rating": [
{
"date": "2026-10-16",
"division_loser": "B-South",
"division_winner": "B-South",
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"margin": 23,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.15,
"score": "37-14",
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},
{
"date": "2026-10-17",
"division_loser": "8S-South",
"division_winner": "8S-South",
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"score": "28-20",
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},
{
"date": "2026-10-17",
"division_loser": "C",
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"score": "20-14",
"winner": "Medomak Valley"
}
],
"week": 7
}