Week 6 recap
Written by our system from the week's results. No human edited it. Oct 15.
38 games Thursday, Friday and Saturday of Week 6. Our picks went 30–8.
Our biggest miss: Mountain Valley over John Bapst 36–14; we had John Bapst at est. 90%. Our second miss: Belfast over Madison 16–14; we had Madison at est. 87%. Our third miss: Sanford over Scarborough 44–36; we had Scarborough at est. 86%.
Seeds that moved: In 8-Man Small South, Boothbay moved from #4 to #2. In Class B North, Messalonskee moved from #6 to #4. In Class C, Foxcroft moved from #3 to #5.
Nine teams remain undefeated. Yarmouth, Stearns, and OOB lead their respective 8-Man divisions. Bonny Eagle and Thornton top Class A South, both 6–0. Lawrence, Marshwood, and Leavitt lead their Class B and C divisions at 6–0. The Crabtree standings show Bonny Eagle at 148.571, Thornton at 143.333, and Lawrence at 141.667.
Still to play: Fort Kent at Washington Academy.
The fact sheet this was written from
{
"biggest_margins": [
{
"date": "2026-10-08",
"division_loser": "8S-South",
"division_winner": "8S-South",
"home": "OOB",
"loser": "Traip",
"margin": 66,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 1.0,
"score": "66-0",
"winner": "OOB"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "8S-South",
"division_winner": "8L-South",
"home": "Gray-NG",
"loser": "Mount View",
"margin": 62,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 1.0,
"score": "62-0",
"winner": "Gray-NG"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "8L-South",
"division_winner": "8L-South",
"home": "Mt. Ararat",
"loser": "Mt. Ararat",
"margin": 60,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 1.0,
"score": "60-0",
"winner": "Yarmouth"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-08",
"division_loser": "C",
"division_winner": "C",
"home": "Hermon",
"loser": "Brewer",
"margin": 48,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 1.0,
"score": "62-14",
"winner": "Hermon"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "B-North",
"division_winner": "B-North",
"home": "Lawrence",
"loser": "Brunswick",
"margin": 48,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.99,
"score": "55-7",
"winner": "Lawrence"
}
],
"closest": [
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "B-North",
"division_winner": "B-South",
"home": "Fryeburg",
"loser": "Fryeburg",
"margin": 1,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.45,
"score": "35-34",
"winner": "Kennebunk"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "D-North",
"division_winner": "D-North",
"home": "Belfast",
"loser": "Madison",
"margin": 2,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.13,
"score": "16-14",
"winner": "Belfast"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "A-South",
"division_winner": "A-South",
"home": "South Portland",
"loser": "Massabesic",
"margin": 3,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.57,
"score": "21-18",
"winner": "South Portland"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-08",
"division_loser": "D-South",
"division_winner": "C",
"home": "Wells",
"loser": "Freeport",
"margin": 4,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.51,
"score": "28-24",
"winner": "Wells"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "A-North",
"division_winner": "A-North",
"home": "Portland",
"loser": "Bangor",
"margin": 7,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.85,
"score": "28-21",
"winner": "Portland"
}
],
"complete": false,
"days_covered": "Thursday, Friday and Saturday",
"division_leaders": {
"8-Man Large North": [
{
"crabtree": 122.222,
"record": "5-1",
"team": "Old Town"
},
{
"crabtree": 103.81,
"record": "4-2",
"team": "Ellsworth"
},
{
"crabtree": 101.429,
"record": "3-3",
"team": "MDI"
}
],
"8-Man Large South": [
{
"crabtree": 144.444,
"record": "6-0",
"team": "Yarmouth"
},
{
"crabtree": 119.608,
"record": "4-2",
"team": "Cape Elizabeth"
},
{
"crabtree": 113.889,
"record": "4-2",
"team": "Spruce Mountain"
}
],
"8-Man Small North": [
{
"crabtree": 135.294,
"record": "6-0",
"team": "Stearns"
},
{
"crabtree": 121.429,
"record": "3-3",
"team": "Orono"
},
{
"crabtree": 108.276,
"record": "3-2",
"team": "Washington Academy"
}
],
"8-Man Small South": [
{
"crabtree": 145.714,
"record": "6-0",
"team": "OOB"
},
{
"crabtree": 106.429,
"record": "3-2",
"team": "Boothbay"
},
{
"crabtree": 104.286,
"record": "3-3",
"team": "Telstar"
}
],
"Class A North": [
{
"crabtree": 122.857,
"record": "4-1",
"team": "Oxford Hills"
},
{
"crabtree": 122.727,
"record": "5-1",
"team": "Portland"
},
{
"crabtree": 110.606,
"record": "3-3",
"team": "Windham"
}
],
"Class A South": [
{
"crabtree": 148.571,
"record": "6-0",
"team": "Bonny Eagle"
},
{
"crabtree": 143.333,
"record": "6-0",
"team": "Thornton"
},
{
"crabtree": 123.81,
"record": "4-2",
"team": "Massabesic"
}
],
"Class B North": [
{
"crabtree": 141.667,
"record": "6-0",
"team": "Lawrence"
},
{
"crabtree": 136.111,
"record": "5-1",
"team": "Cony"
},
{
"crabtree": 119.444,
"record": "4-2",
"team": "Skowhegan"
}
],
"Class B South": [
{
"crabtree": 127.778,
"record": "6-0",
"team": "Marshwood"
},
{
"crabtree": 116.667,
"record": "5-1",
"team": "Kennebunk"
},
{
"crabtree": 108.333,
"record": "4-2",
"team": "Biddeford"
}
],
"Class C": [
{
"crabtree": 147.222,
"record": "6-0",
"team": "Leavitt"
},
{
"crabtree": 133.333,
"record": "6-0",
"team": "Hermon"
},
{
"crabtree": 133.333,
"record": "5-1",
"team": "Greely"
}
],
"Class D North": [
{
"crabtree": 130.556,
"record": "5-1",
"team": "Winslow"
},
{
"crabtree": 94.444,
"record": "4-2",
"team": "MCI"
},
{
"crabtree": 91.667,
"record": "2-4",
"team": "Mattanawcook"
}
],
"Class D South": [
{
"crabtree": 125.0,
"record": "4-2",
"team": "Freeport"
},
{
"crabtree": 119.444,
"record": "5-1",
"team": "Winthrop"
},
{
"crabtree": 113.889,
"record": "4-2",
"team": "Morse"
}
]
},
"games_played": 38,
"generated_at": "2026-10-15T07:43:19",
"next_week_sample": [
{
"away": "Winthrop",
"date": "2026-10-15",
"home": "Mountain Valley"
},
{
"away": "Orono",
"date": "2026-10-16",
"home": "Yarmouth"
},
{
"away": "Mt. Ararat",
"date": "2026-10-16",
"home": "Gray-NG"
},
{
"away": "Falmouth",
"date": "2026-10-16",
"home": "Windham"
},
{
"away": "Cheverus",
"date": "2026-10-16",
"home": "Deering"
},
{
"away": "Biddeford",
"date": "2026-10-16",
"home": "Marshwood"
},
{
"away": "Scarborough",
"date": "2026-10-16",
"home": "Gorham"
},
{
"away": "Lake Region",
"date": "2026-10-16",
"home": "Cape Elizabeth"
},
{
"away": "John Bapst",
"date": "2026-10-16",
"home": "Mattanawcook"
},
{
"away": "Brunswick",
"date": "2026-10-16",
"home": "Cony"
},
{
"away": "Waterville",
"date": "2026-10-16",
"home": "Old Town"
},
{
"away": "Edward Little",
"date": "2026-10-16",
"home": "Bangor"
}
],
"our_misses": [
{
"date": "2026-10-10",
"loser": "John Bapst",
"our_pct_loser": "90",
"score": "36\u201314",
"winner": "Mountain Valley"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"loser": "Madison",
"our_pct_loser": "87",
"score": "16\u201314",
"winner": "Belfast"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-10",
"loser": "Scarborough",
"our_pct_loser": "86",
"score": "44\u201336",
"winner": "Sanford"
}
],
"our_picks": {
"l": 8,
"w": 30
},
"results": [
{
"date": "2026-10-08",
"division_loser": "8S-South",
"division_winner": "8S-South",
"home": "OOB",
"loser": "Traip",
"margin": 66,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 1.0,
"score": "66-0",
"winner": "OOB"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "8S-South",
"division_winner": "8L-South",
"home": "Gray-NG",
"loser": "Mount View",
"margin": 62,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 1.0,
"score": "62-0",
"winner": "Gray-NG"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "8L-South",
"division_winner": "8L-South",
"home": "Mt. Ararat",
"loser": "Mt. Ararat",
"margin": 60,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 1.0,
"score": "60-0",
"winner": "Yarmouth"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-08",
"division_loser": "C",
"division_winner": "C",
"home": "Hermon",
"loser": "Brewer",
"margin": 48,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 1.0,
"score": "62-14",
"winner": "Hermon"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "B-North",
"division_winner": "B-North",
"home": "Lawrence",
"loser": "Brunswick",
"margin": 48,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.99,
"score": "55-7",
"winner": "Lawrence"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "8S-South",
"division_winner": "8S-South",
"home": "Sacopee Valley",
"loser": "Sacopee Valley",
"margin": 46,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.89,
"score": "70-24",
"winner": "Telstar"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "C",
"division_winner": "C",
"home": "Gardiner",
"loser": "Gardiner",
"margin": 41,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.91,
"score": "48-7",
"winner": "Leavitt"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "8L-South",
"division_winner": "8L-North",
"home": "Lake Region",
"loser": "Lake Region",
"margin": 40,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.82,
"score": "60-20",
"winner": "Old Town"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "C",
"division_winner": "C",
"home": "Hampden",
"loser": "Hampden",
"margin": 40,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.82,
"score": "46-6",
"winner": "Medomak Valley"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "A-North",
"division_winner": "A-South",
"home": "Bonny Eagle",
"loser": "Oxford Hills",
"margin": 39,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.87,
"score": "45-6",
"winner": "Bonny Eagle"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-10",
"division_loser": "B-South",
"division_winner": "B-South",
"home": "Cheverus",
"loser": "Cheverus",
"margin": 39,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.74,
"score": "45-6",
"winner": "Marshwood"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "8S-North",
"division_winner": "8S-North",
"home": "Dexter",
"loser": "Dexter",
"margin": 38,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.91,
"score": "50-12",
"winner": "Orono"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-08",
"division_loser": "B-North",
"division_winner": "B-North",
"home": "Cony",
"loser": "Camden Hills",
"margin": 37,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.97,
"score": "37-0",
"winner": "Cony"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-08",
"division_loser": "D-South",
"division_winner": "D-South",
"home": "Morse",
"loser": "Poland",
"margin": 34,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.88,
"score": "40-6",
"winner": "Morse"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "A-South",
"division_winner": "A-South",
"home": "Noble",
"loser": "Noble",
"margin": 33,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.91,
"score": "53-20",
"winner": "Thornton"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "D-North",
"division_winner": "D-North",
"home": "MCI",
"loser": "MCI",
"margin": 32,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.93,
"score": "38-6",
"winner": "Winslow"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "8S-North",
"division_winner": "8S-North",
"home": "Bucksport",
"loser": "Bucksport",
"margin": 30,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.93,
"score": "42-12",
"winner": "Stearns"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "8L-North",
"division_winner": "8L-North",
"home": "Ellsworth",
"loser": "Ellsworth",
"margin": 30,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.18,
"score": "50-20",
"winner": "MDI"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "B-South",
"division_winner": "B-North",
"home": "Skowhegan",
"loser": "Biddeford",
"margin": 29,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.54,
"score": "36-7",
"winner": "Skowhegan"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "C",
"division_winner": "C",
"home": "Greely",
"loser": "Oceanside",
"margin": 27,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.97,
"score": "35-8",
"winner": "Greely"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "A-North",
"division_winner": "A-North",
"home": "Edward Little",
"loser": "Edward Little",
"margin": 25,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.43,
"score": "34-9",
"winner": "Windham"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-10",
"division_loser": "D-North",
"division_winner": "D-South",
"home": "John Bapst",
"loser": "John Bapst",
"margin": 22,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.1,
"score": "36-14",
"winner": "Mountain Valley"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "B-South",
"division_winner": "B-South",
"home": "Gorham",
"loser": "Gorham",
"margin": 21,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.79,
"score": "35-14",
"winner": "Falmouth"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "D-North",
"division_winner": "D-South",
"home": "Lisbon",
"loser": "Mattanawcook",
"margin": 21,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.76,
"score": "27-6",
"winner": "Lisbon"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-10",
"division_loser": "8L-North",
"division_winner": "8L-North",
"home": "Houlton",
"loser": "Waterville",
"margin": 16,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.78,
"score": "30-14",
"winner": "Houlton"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-10",
"division_loser": "C",
"division_winner": "C",
"home": "Nokomis",
"loser": "Nokomis",
"margin": 16,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.85,
"score": "23-7",
"winner": "Foxcroft"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "B-North",
"division_winner": "B-North",
"home": "Messalonskee",
"loser": "Mt. Blue",
"margin": 15,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.43,
"score": "41-26",
"winner": "Messalonskee"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "D-South",
"division_winner": "D-South",
"home": "Winthrop",
"loser": "Dirigo",
"margin": 13,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.94,
"score": "19-6",
"winner": "Winthrop"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "D-North",
"division_winner": "C",
"home": "York",
"loser": "Oak Hill",
"margin": 12,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.81,
"score": "40-28",
"winner": "York"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "8L-South",
"division_winner": "8L-South",
"home": "Spruce Mountain",
"loser": "Cape Elizabeth",
"margin": 12,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.8,
"score": "40-28",
"winner": "Spruce Mountain"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "8S-South",
"division_winner": "8S-South",
"home": "Maranacook",
"loser": "Maranacook",
"margin": 10,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.15,
"score": "30-20",
"winner": "Boothbay"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-10",
"division_loser": "A-South",
"division_winner": "A-South",
"home": "Scarborough",
"loser": "Scarborough",
"margin": 8,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.14,
"score": "44-36",
"winner": "Sanford"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "A-North",
"division_winner": "A-North",
"home": "Portland",
"loser": "Bangor",
"margin": 7,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.85,
"score": "28-21",
"winner": "Portland"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "A-North",
"division_winner": "B-South",
"home": "Westbrook",
"loser": "Deering",
"margin": 7,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.9,
"score": "14-7",
"winner": "Westbrook"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-08",
"division_loser": "D-South",
"division_winner": "C",
"home": "Wells",
"loser": "Freeport",
"margin": 4,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.51,
"score": "28-24",
"winner": "Wells"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "A-South",
"division_winner": "A-South",
"home": "South Portland",
"loser": "Massabesic",
"margin": 3,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.57,
"score": "21-18",
"winner": "South Portland"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "D-North",
"division_winner": "D-North",
"home": "Belfast",
"loser": "Madison",
"margin": 2,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.13,
"score": "16-14",
"winner": "Belfast"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "B-North",
"division_winner": "B-South",
"home": "Fryeburg",
"loser": "Fryeburg",
"margin": 1,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.45,
"score": "35-34",
"winner": "Kennebunk"
}
],
"season": 2026,
"seeds_moved": [
{
"division": "8-Man Small South",
"from": 4,
"team": "Boothbay",
"to": 2
},
{
"division": "Class B North",
"from": 6,
"team": "Messalonskee",
"to": 4
},
{
"division": "Class C",
"from": 3,
"team": "Foxcroft",
"to": 5
},
{
"division": "8-Man Large North",
"from": 5,
"team": "Houlton",
"to": 4
}
],
"standings_movers": [
{
"crabtree": 106.429,
"division": "8-Man Small South",
"from_rank": 4,
"record": "3-2",
"team": "Boothbay",
"to_rank": 2
},
{
"crabtree": 98.095,
"division": "Class B North",
"from_rank": 6,
"record": "4-2",
"team": "Messalonskee",
"to_rank": 4
},
{
"crabtree": 130.556,
"division": "Class C",
"from_rank": 3,
"record": "5-1",
"team": "Foxcroft",
"to_rank": 5
}
],
"still_to_play": [
"Fort Kent at Washington Academy"
],
"undefeated": [
{
"division": "8-Man Large South",
"record": "6-0",
"team": "Yarmouth"
},
{
"division": "8-Man Small North",
"record": "6-0",
"team": "Stearns"
},
{
"division": "8-Man Small South",
"record": "6-0",
"team": "OOB"
},
{
"division": "Class A South",
"record": "6-0",
"team": "Bonny Eagle"
},
{
"division": "Class A South",
"record": "6-0",
"team": "Thornton"
},
{
"division": "Class B North",
"record": "6-0",
"team": "Lawrence"
},
{
"division": "Class B South",
"record": "6-0",
"team": "Marshwood"
},
{
"division": "Class C",
"record": "6-0",
"team": "Leavitt"
},
{
"division": "Class C",
"record": "6-0",
"team": "Hermon"
}
],
"unreported_games": [
{
"away": "Fort Kent",
"date": "2026-10-09",
"home": "Washington Academy"
}
],
"upsets_by_our_rating": [
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "D-North",
"division_winner": "D-North",
"home": "Belfast",
"loser": "Madison",
"margin": 2,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.13,
"score": "16-14",
"winner": "Belfast"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "8S-South",
"division_winner": "8S-South",
"home": "Maranacook",
"loser": "Maranacook",
"margin": 10,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.15,
"score": "30-20",
"winner": "Boothbay"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-09",
"division_loser": "8L-North",
"division_winner": "8L-North",
"home": "Ellsworth",
"loser": "Ellsworth",
"margin": 30,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.18,
"score": "50-20",
"winner": "MDI"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-10",
"division_loser": "A-South",
"division_winner": "A-South",
"home": "Scarborough",
"loser": "Scarborough",
"margin": 8,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.14,
"score": "44-36",
"winner": "Sanford"
},
{
"date": "2026-10-10",
"division_loser": "D-North",
"division_winner": "D-South",
"home": "John Bapst",
"loser": "John Bapst",
"margin": 22,
"pre_game_win_prob_of_winner": 0.1,
"score": "36-14",
"winner": "Mountain Valley"
}
],
"week": 6
}