Recap
Winthrop beat Mountain Valley 29–7 on Thursday. Our pick, Winthrop (est. 91%), was right.
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Hosmer Field Complex
Stored Oct 15 before kickoff: Winthrop, est. 91% to win, by est. 17. All picks
Seed before this game → after: Winthrop #2 → #2 · Mountain Valley #6 → #6
Winthrop beat Mountain Valley 29–7 on Thursday. Our pick, Winthrop (est. 91%), was right.
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Written before the game. Records and places below are as of Mon, Oct 12.
Winthrop (5–1, #2 in Class D South) at Mountain Valley (1–4, #7 in Class D South), Thursday. Our rating has Winthrop at est. 98% to win, by about 25 points. A clear favorite on paper. For Mountain Valley it's a cut-line game: #5 to #7 after this weekend with a win, #6 to #7 with a loss (top 6 make it).
| Fri 9/4 | vs. Lisbon | W 34–3 |
| Fri 9/11 | at Freeport | L 28–29 |
| Thu 9/17 | vs. Madison | W 38–8 |
| Thu 9/24 | vs. Poland | W 34–6 |
| Sat 10/3 | at Oak Hill | W 35–0 |
| Fri 10/9 | vs. Dirigo | W 19–6 |
| Thu 10/15 | at Mountain Valley | W 29–7 |
| Fri 10/23 | at John Bapst | W 14–6 |
| Fri 11/6 | vs. Morse |
| Fri 9/4 | vs. Morse | L 8–16 |
| Fri 9/11 | at Mattanawcook | L 6–14 |
| Fri 9/18 | at Lisbon | L 6–34 |
| Fri 9/25 | vs. Dirigo | L 6–24 |
| Fri 10/2 | vs. Belfast | W 20–0 |
| Sat 10/10 | at John Bapst | L 14–36 |
| Thu 10/15 | vs. Winthrop | L 7–29 |
| Fri 10/23 | at Poland | W 26–21 |
| Fri 10/30 | at Morse | L 6–42 |
| 2025 | Mountain Valley 0, Winthrop 42 |
From the past seasons in our records.
Winthrop beat Mountain Valley 29–7 on Thu, Oct 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM.
Winthrop is 7–1 and #2 of 7 in Class D South in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
Mountain Valley is 2–6 and #6 of 7 in Class D South in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
Winthrop won the last meeting in our records, 42–0 in 2025.
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Win chances come from our power rating, a statistical model built on this season's results; the method is on the About page and its track record on Accuracy. Crabtree places use the MPA's own method, recomputed. Nothing here is advice.