Recap
Wells beat Freeport 28–24 on Thursday. Our pick, Wells (est. 51%), was right.
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Stored Oct 8 before kickoff: Wells, est. 51% to win, by est. 0. All picks
Seed before this game → after: Freeport #1 → #1 · Wells #5 → #5
Wells beat Freeport 28–24 on Thursday. Our pick, Wells (est. 51%), was right.
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Written before the game. Records and places below are as of Oct 5.
The short version. Freeport has the better record and the bigger scoring margin. Wells has played the harder schedule and is at home. Put those together and our power rating makes Thursday close: Wells by est. 2 points, an est. 55% chance, home field included. Read that as "nobody should be surprised either way."
| Sat 9/5 | vs. Mattanawcook | W 42–6 |
| Fri 9/11 | vs. Winthrop | W 29–28 |
| Fri 9/18 | at Poland | W 40–6 |
| Sat 9/26 | at Winslow | L 6–14 |
| Fri 10/2 | vs. Morse | W 20–6 |
| Thu 10/8 | at Wells | L 24–28 |
| Fri 10/16 | at Dirigo | W 42–14 |
| Fri 10/23 | vs. Lisbon | W 34–0 |
| Fri 11/6 | vs. Dirigo |
| Fri 9/4 | vs. Winslow | W 14–13 |
| Fri 9/11 | at Medomak Valley | W 21–8 |
| Fri 9/18 | vs. Greely | L 14–34 |
| Sat 9/26 | at Leavitt | L 0–42 |
| Fri 10/2 | vs. Gardiner | W 47–31 |
| Thu 10/8 | vs. Freeport | W 28–24 |
| Sat 10/17 | at York | W 47–0 |
| Sat 10/24 | at Nokomis | L 13–14 |
| Fri 10/30 | vs. Hampden | W 55–0 |
| Fri 11/6 | at Foxcroft |
| 2024 | Wells 29, Freeport 6 |
| 2023 | Freeport 7, Wells 42 |
From the past seasons in our records.
Wells beat Freeport 28–24 on Thu, Oct 8, 2026 at 6:30 PM.
Freeport is 6–2 and #1 of 7 in Class D South in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
Wells is 6–3 and #5 of 12 in Class C in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
Wells won the last meeting in our records, 29–6 in 2024.
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Win chances come from our power rating, a statistical model built on this season's results; the method is on the About page and its track record on Accuracy. Crabtree places use the MPA's own method, recomputed. Nothing here is advice.